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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Vasteras SK

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Orgryte

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

62%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

54%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,09 xG 1,36

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 8. · Orgryte 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	13	11	2	0	+20	+9.4	35
2	Hammarby	14	8	2	4	+18	+11.5	26
3	Hacken	13	6	5	2	+5	+4.1	23
4	AIK	13	6	3	4	+0	-7.4	21
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+11	+5.1	20
6	Malmo FF	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.9	20
7	GAIS	14	5	4	5	+4	+2.1	19
8	Vasteras SK	13	5	4	4	-1	-3.0	19
9	Elfsborg	14	4	6	4	+1	-0.7	18
10	Mjallby	13	4	5	4	+2	+2.8	17
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	-3	-6.0	16
12	Kalmar	13	4	2	7	-3	+2.0	14
13	Goteborg	13	3	4	6	-13	+1.7	13
14	Degerfors	13	2	4	7	-11	-8.8	10
15	Orgryte	13	2	4	7	-17	-6.4	10
16	Halmstad	13	1	3	9	-18	-10.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+21	+10.0	19
2	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
3	GAIS	7	4	2	1	+9	+0.1	14
4	Kalmar	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.9	14
5	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.5	12
6	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+1	+2.3	11
7	Djurgarden	7	3	1	3	+7	+3.0	10
8	Malmo FF	6	3	0	3	+6	+4.3	9
9	AIK	6	3	0	3	-2	-1.4	9
10	Mjallby	6	2	1	3	+1	+3.6	7
11	Orgryte	7	1	4	2	-1	-0.9	7
12	Vasteras SK	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.2	6
13	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.4	5
14	Goteborg	6	1	2	3	-3	+4.2	5
15	Halmstad	7	1	2	4	-7	-5.8	5
16	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+11	+3.4	19
2	Vasteras SK	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.8	13
3	Hacken	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.8	12
4	AIK	7	3	3	1	+2	-6.0	12
5	Malmo FF	7	3	2	2	-1	-0.4	11
6	Brommapojkarna	8	3	2	3	-2	-1.6	11
7	Djurgarden	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.1	10
8	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
9	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-10	-2.5	8
10	Hammarby	6	2	1	3	-3	+1.5	7
11	Elfsborg	6	1	3	2	-1	+0.8	6
12	Degerfors	6	1	2	3	-4	-2.5	5
13	GAIS	7	1	2	4	-5	+2.1	5
14	Orgryte	6	1	0	5	-16	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	6	0	1	5	-11	-4.5	1
16	Kalmar	6	0	0	6	-9	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.