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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Varnamo

T T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Hacken

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Hacken

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 51%

33%

69%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,6

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 1,46

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 12. · Hacken 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	16	12	3	1	+28	+5.5	39
2	Hacken	16	11	2	3	+24	-0.3	35
3	Malmo FF	15	11	1	3	+21	-0.2	34
4	Djurgarden	17	9	3	5	+3	-1.6	30
5	Halmstad	15	7	3	5	-3	-0.5	24
6	Norrkoping	15	6	4	5	+3	+3.7	22
7	Kalmar	15	6	4	5	-2	-2.3	22
8	Hammarby	17	6	4	7	-4	+0.2	22
9	Brommapojkarna	16	7	1	8	-4	+0.5	22
10	Mjallby	15	5	4	6	-3	-3.9	19
11	Sirius	15	4	5	6	-4	-0.3	17
12	Varnamo	15	5	1	9	-5	+0.1	16
13	Degerfors	16	4	2	10	-24	+0.2	14
14	AIK	15	3	4	8	-6	-0.7	13
15	Goteborg	15	1	6	8	-6	-1.9	9
16	Varberg	15	1	5	9	-18	+1.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
2	Hacken	8	7	0	1	+18	-0.3	21
3	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
4	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+15	+1.0	17
5	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+6	+0.3	16
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	8	3	3	2	+1	-0.1	12
8	Degerfors	9	3	2	4	-4	+0.2	11
9	Brommapojkarna	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.2	10
10	Mjallby	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.3	9
11	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-1	+0.5	8
12	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	7	1	2	4	+2	-0.8	5
16	Varberg	8	0	3	5	-12	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	8	7	1	0	+13	+4.5	22
2	Malmo FF	7	5	0	2	+6	-0.9	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Norrkoping	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.3	14
5	Brommapojkarna	8	4	0	4	-3	+0.3	12
6	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-4	-0.5	12
7	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
8	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
9	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
10	Kalmar	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.3	9
11	AIK	8	2	1	5	-3	-0.7	7
12	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
13	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
14	Varberg	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.8	5
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.