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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Kalmar

U S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Varberg

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

40%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,84 xG 0,81

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 7. · Varberg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	16	12	3	1	+28	+5.5	39
2	Hacken	17	11	2	4	+23	-0.4	35
3	Malmo FF	16	11	2	3	+21	+0.7	35
4	Djurgarden	17	9	3	5	+3	-1.6	30
5	Norrkoping	16	7	4	5	+4	+5.6	25
6	Halmstad	15	7	3	5	-3	-0.5	24
7	Kalmar	15	6	4	5	-2	-2.3	22
8	Hammarby	17	6	4	7	-4	+0.2	22
9	Brommapojkarna	16	7	1	8	-4	+0.5	22
10	Mjallby	15	5	4	6	-3	-3.9	19
11	Varnamo	16	6	1	9	-4	+0.2	19
12	Sirius	15	4	5	6	-4	-0.3	17
13	AIK	16	3	5	8	-6	-1.7	14
14	Degerfors	17	4	2	11	-25	-1.6	14
15	Goteborg	15	1	6	8	-6	-1.9	9
16	Varberg	15	1	5	9	-18	+1.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
2	Hacken	8	7	0	1	+18	-0.3	21
3	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
4	Elfsborg	8	5	2	1	+15	+1.0	17
5	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+6	+0.3	16
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	8	3	3	2	+1	-0.1	12
8	Norrkoping	8	3	2	3	+0	+2.3	11
9	Degerfors	9	3	2	4	-4	+0.2	11
10	Brommapojkarna	8	3	1	4	-1	+0.2	10
11	Mjallby	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.3	9
12	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-2	+0.2	9
13	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
14	AIK	8	1	4	3	-3	-1.0	7
15	Goteborg	7	1	2	4	+2	-0.8	5
16	Varberg	8	0	3	5	-12	+0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	8	7	1	0	+13	+4.5	22
2	Malmo FF	8	5	1	2	+6	+0.1	16
3	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
4	Norrkoping	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.3	14
5	Brommapojkarna	8	4	0	4	-3	+0.3	12
6	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-4	-0.5	12
7	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
8	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
9	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
10	Kalmar	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.3	9
11	AIK	8	2	1	5	-3	-0.7	7
12	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
13	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
14	Varberg	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.8	5
15	Goteborg	8	0	4	4	-8	-1.0	4
16	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-21	-1.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.