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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varnamo

S T T U T

2–3

Full-time

AIK

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

21%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

43%

40%

Both score Ø 42%

43%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 13. · AIK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	14	9	4	1	+13	31
2	Djurgarden	15	9	3	3	+23	30
3	Malmo FF	16	9	3	4	+9	30
4	AIK	15	8	4	3	+4	28
5	Hammarby	14	8	3	3	+16	27
6	Mjallby	15	6	5	4	+2	23
7	Kalmar	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Goteborg	14	6	3	5	+1	21
9	Sirius	15	6	3	6	-5	21
10	Elfsborg	14	5	5	4	+8	20
11	Norrkoping	14	4	4	6	-1	16
12	Varberg	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Varnamo	14	3	4	7	-10	13
14	Sundsvall	14	3	1	10	-21	10
15	Degerfors	15	2	2	11	-20	8
16	Helsingborg	15	1	4	10	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+11	19
3	AIK	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Hammarby	8	5	3	0	+12	18
5	Mjallby	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Elfsborg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
7	Hacken	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Goteborg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Sirius	6	4	0	2	+2	12
11	Varberg	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Varnamo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Sundsvall	8	3	0	5	-10	9
14	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	+2	8
15	Helsingborg	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Malmo FF	8	3	2	3	-2	11
3	Hammarby	6	3	0	3	+4	9
4	AIK	7	2	3	2	-2	9
5	Goteborg	7	3	0	4	-3	9
6	Sirius	9	2	3	4	-7	9
7	Djurgarden	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Kalmar	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Mjallby	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Elfsborg	7	1	3	3	+0	6
12	Varnamo	8	1	1	6	-12	4
13	Varberg	7	1	1	5	-12	4
14	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-11	3
15	Helsingborg	7	0	2	5	-5	2
16	Sundsvall	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.