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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Hammarby

U T S S S

1–2

Full-time

Varnamo

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

60%

47%

Both score Ø 37%

27%

47%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

25 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 4. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	16	10	3	3	+24	33
2	Hacken	15	9	4	2	+12	31
3	AIK	16	9	4	3	+5	31
4	Hammarby	15	9	3	3	+19	30
5	Malmo FF	16	9	3	4	+9	30
6	Kalmar	16	7	3	6	+4	24
7	Goteborg	15	7	3	5	+3	24
8	Mjallby	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Sirius	15	6	3	6	-5	21
10	Elfsborg	15	5	5	5	+7	20
11	Varberg	16	5	3	8	-12	18
12	Norrkoping	15	4	4	7	-3	16
13	Varnamo	15	3	4	8	-11	13
14	Degerfors	16	3	2	11	-19	11
15	Helsingborg	16	2	4	10	-11	10
16	Sundsvall	16	3	1	12	-24	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+11	19
3	AIK	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Hammarby	8	5	3	0	+12	18
5	Kalmar	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Mjallby	8	4	3	1	+5	15
7	Elfsborg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
8	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Goteborg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Sirius	6	4	0	2	+2	12
11	Varberg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Varnamo	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Sundsvall	9	3	0	6	-12	9
14	Norrkoping	8	2	2	4	+0	8
15	Helsingborg	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Hammarby	7	4	0	3	+7	12
3	AIK	8	3	3	2	-1	12
4	Goteborg	8	4	0	4	-1	12
5	Djurgarden	8	3	2	3	+3	11
6	Malmo FF	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Sirius	9	2	3	4	-7	9
8	Kalmar	8	2	2	4	-1	8
9	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Mjallby	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Varberg	8	2	1	5	-10	7
12	Elfsborg	8	1	3	4	-1	6
13	Varnamo	8	1	1	6	-12	4
14	Degerfors	8	1	0	7	-11	3
15	Helsingborg	7	0	2	5	-5	2
16	Sundsvall	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.