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DBU Pokalen
Hillerød
S S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Aarhus
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hillerød Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Esbjerg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
3 Brønshøj 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Lyseng 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Odense 2 2 0 0 +14 6
6 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +11 6
7 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
8 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Oksbøl 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
11 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
15 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
18 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
22 B 93 2 1 1 0 +10 4
23 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
25 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Lyngby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +6 3
28 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
30 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
48 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
49 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
52 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
53 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
54 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
55 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
98 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
99 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
100 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hillerød Aarhus
5′
G. Links 0–1
H. Sulemana 🟨
22′
28′
🟨 Y. Badji
W. Glindtvad 🔁
↦ K. Enghardt
30′
Half-time 0–1
N. Kretzschmar 🔁
↦ H. Sulemana
46′
1–1 S. Jalaei
53′
61′
🔁 T. Bech
↦ N. Poulsen
61′
🔁 P. Mortensen
↦ Y. Badji
M. Mouritz 🔁
↦ P. Kallsberg
62′
A. Justinussen 🔁
62′
V. Dedes 🔁
↦ C. Allen
72′
72′
🔁 K. Yakob
↦ M. Solbakken
72′
🔁 F. Emmery
↦ S. Jorgensen
80′
🟨 F. Beijmo
82′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ R. Carstensen
90′
F. Tingager 1–2
W. Glindtvad 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hillerød

26 A. Dithmer
3 C. Allen
18 O. Lauritsen
21 K. Enghardt
2 R. Moller
5 L. Boje-Larsen
10 P. Kallsberg
16 H. Toftegaard
34 A. Alicino
22 S. Jalaei
80 H. Sulemana
Bench (9)
1 A. Kappenberger
4 G. Arndal-Lauritzen
25 W. Glindtvad
24 V. Dedes
6 M. Due Grandt
19 J. Lyshoj
11 M. Mouritz
15 N. Kretzschmar
17 A. Justinussen

Coach: Christian Lonstrup

Aarhus

1 J. Hansen
3 H. Dalsgaard
5 F. Tingager
2 F. Beijmo
29 R. Carstensen
7 M. Solbakken
6 N. Poulsen
11 G. Links
8 S. Jorgensen
15 Y. Badji
10 K. Arnstad
Bench (9)
40 J. Jensen-Abbew
19 E. Kahl
17 K. Yakob
39 F. Emmery
27 S. Tchamche
13 J. Serra
31 T. Bech
9 P. Mortensen
22 L. Wahlstedt

Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.