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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
Brondby
T T S T S
5–1
Full-time
Odense
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Odense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
44%
89%
Both score Ø 61%
33%
89%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

4,34 xG 1,40
54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 4. · Odense 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 10 7 2 1 +11 +6.6 23
2 FC Copenhagen 10 6 2 2 +10 +8.2 20
3 Midtjylland 9 5 3 1 +11 +1.6 18
4 Brondby 9 5 0 4 +1 +3.8 15
5 Randers FC 9 4 1 4 -2 -0.2 13
6 Viborg 10 4 0 6 -3 -1.9 12
7 Nordsjaelland 10 4 0 6 -6 -2.6 12
8 Sonderjyske 10 3 2 5 -3 -5.6 11
9 Fredericia 10 3 2 5 -4 -6.0 11
10 Odense 9 3 2 4 -6 +4.6 11
11 Silkeborg 10 3 2 5 -6 -2.7 11
12 Vejle 10 1 4 5 -3 -5.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Odense
1–0 S. Fukuda
8′
32′
🟨 Bjørn Paulsen
34′
N. Ganaus 1–1
Y. Bojang
2–1 N. Vallys
S. Klaiber
39′
Sho Fukuda ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
3–1 D. Wass
45′
Half-time 3–1
Luis Binks 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ A. Sorensen
46′
🔁 J. Askou
↦ B. Paulsen
46′
🔁 M. McCoy
↦ L. Owusu
47′
🟨 Yaya Bojang
4–1 N. Vallys
N. Nartey
52′
5–1 N. Nartey
64′
Marko Divković 🟨
66′
F. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ J. Ambaek
68′
72′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ N. Burgy
O. Villadsen 🔁
↦ S. Fukuda
81′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ N. Nartey
81′
M. Younis 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
85′
S. Spierings 🔁
↦ D. Wass
86′
86′
🔁 V. Friis
↦ I. Ouedraogo
92′
🟨 Jona Niemiec
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Brondby

4-4-2
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 L. Binks D
24 M. Divkovic D
19 S. Fukuda M
10 D. Wass M
8 B. Tahirovic M
7 N. Vallys M
35 N. Nartey F
38 J. Ambaek F
Bench (9)
2 O. Villadsen
5 R. Lauritsen
6 S. Spierings
11 F. Bundgaard
16 T. Mikkelsen
18 K. Uchino
21 M. Younis
42 M. Jensen
9 M. Gregoritsch

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odense

3-4-1-2
16 V. Myhra G
5 N. Burgy D
4 B. Paulsen D
24 Y. Bojang D
20 L. Owusu M
8 R. Falk M
22 I. Ouedraogo M
3 A. Sorensen M
7 J. Arp F
31 J. Grot F
17 N. Ganaus F
Bench (9)
11 J. Niemiec
13 J. Askou
14 G. Grubbe
15 M. McCoy
21 V. Friis
23 W. Martin
26 E. Hansborg
29 J. Gomez
30 T. Sander

Coach: Alexander Zorniger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.