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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
Nordsjaelland
U S S T S
3–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,58 xG 0,51
63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 2. · Midtjylland 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 5 0 1 +7 +4.1 15
2 Nordsjaelland 5 4 0 1 +10 +0.1 12
3 Aarhus 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.4 11
4 Silkeborg 6 3 1 2 +2 +4.5 10
5 Brondby 5 3 0 2 +2 +0.3 9
6 Midtjylland 5 3 0 2 +0 +1.7 9
7 Odense 6 2 2 2 +3 -2.0 8
8 Viborg 6 2 2 2 -2 +2.2 8
9 Lyngby 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.2 7
10 Randers FC 6 1 2 3 -9 -1.3 5
11 Hvidovre IF 6 0 2 4 -9 -4.6 2
12 Vejle 5 0 0 5 -5 -8.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Midtjylland
1–0 M. Ingvartsen
D. Svensson
7′
12′
🟨 Júnior Brumado
31′
🟨 Adam Gabriel
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Charles
↦ Franculino Djú
2–0 M. Ingvartsen
I. Osman
53′
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ M. Diomandé
65′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ O. Antman
65′
69′
🔁 Marrony
↦ Júnior Brumado
70′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
79′
🔁 A. Şimşir
↦ O. Sørensen
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ I. Osman
82′
86′
🟨 Charles
87′
🔁 A. Rømer
↦ Juninho
Z. Sertdemir 🔁
↦ D. Svensson
90′
3–0 M. Dorgeles
M. Ingvartsen
90′
C. Harder 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-2-3-1
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
22 O. Antman M
10 M. Diomandé M
14 I. Osman M
7 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (9)
29 M. Dorgeles
11 M. Hansen
9 B. Nygren
21 Z. Sertdemir
40 C. Harder
15 E. Marxen
42 K. Barslund
19 L. Hey
25 C. Eriksson

Coach: J. Thorup

Midtjylland

3-5-2
50 M. Fraisl G
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
26 P. Ortíz D
13 A. Gabriel M
25 I. Fossum M
8 K. Olsson M
24 O. Sørensen M
29 Paulinho M
74 Júnior Brumado F
17 Franculino Djú F
Bench (9)
35 Charles
38 Marrony
44 N. Dyhr
58 A. Şimşir
2 A. Rømer
18 E. Chilufya
1 J. Lössl
5 E. Martínez
14 H. Dalsgaard

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.