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Superligaen

Referee: J Kehlet

Midtjylland

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Lyngby

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Lyngby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

22 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

8 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Midtjylland 5. · Lyngby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	+9	+5.3	26
2	Silkeborg	12	8	1	3	+13	+8.2	25
3	Brondby	12	8	1	3	+11	+2.6	25
4	Nordsjaelland	12	6	4	2	+14	+6.6	22
5	Midtjylland	12	6	3	3	+1	+1.7	21
6	Aarhus	12	4	5	3	+0	+5.2	17
7	Lyngby	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.9	15
8	Randers FC	12	3	5	4	-9	-2.7	14
9	Viborg	12	3	3	6	-8	-0.4	12
10	Odense	12	3	2	7	-3	-4.5	11
11	Vejle	12	2	2	8	-5	-11.4	8
12	Hvidovre IF	12	0	3	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	0	2	+4	+3.9	12
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.8	11
4	Midtjylland	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.9	11
5	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+4	+3.0	9
6	Viborg	6	2	3	1	+0	+2.1	9
7	Randers FC	6	2	3	1	-3	+1.1	9
8	Lyngby	6	2	2	2	+1	-2.2	8
9	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	-3	+2.2	8
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-2	-4.4	4
11	Odense	7	0	2	5	-7	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	6	0	0	6	-13	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	7	5	1	1	+7	-0.4	16
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+5	+1.4	14
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+7	+3.8	11
4	Silkeborg	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
5	Midtjylland	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.1	10
6	Odense	5	3	0	2	+4	-3.2	9
7	Aarhus	6	2	3	1	+3	+3.0	9
8	Lyngby	6	2	1	3	-7	-1.8	7
9	Randers FC	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-3	-6.9	4
11	Hvidovre IF	6	0	3	3	-4	-5.1	3
12	Viborg	6	1	0	5	-8	-2.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.