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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Krogh
FC Copenhagen
T U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
9,0
7,5
Scored
9,0
7,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+9,0
+7,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match FC Copenhagen 27. · Midtjylland 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Helsingor 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Fredericia 3 3 0 0 +16 9
3 Ishøj 3 3 0 0 +9 9
4 AB Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Kolding IF 3 2 1 0 +22 7
6 B 93 3 2 1 0 +21 7
7 Lyngby 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Midtjylland 2 2 0 0 +15 6
9 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
10 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
11 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
12 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +10 6
13 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +8 6
14 Esbjerg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
15 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +6 6
16 Odense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
17 Hobro 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 Viby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
22 Nykobing FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 HIK 3 2 0 1 -1 6
25 Lyseng 3 2 0 1 -5 6
26 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
27 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +9 3
28 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
30 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
51 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
52 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
53 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
54 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
55 Randers FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Nordsjaelland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
60 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
100 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
102 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
103 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Midtjylland
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 K. Olsson
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Diogo Gonçalves
46′
R. Bardghji 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
59′
65′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
E. Jelert 🔁
↦ O. Højlund
69′
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
69′
D. Vavro 🟨
71′
76′
🔁 D. Osorio
↦ A. Şimşir
76′
🔁 Franculino Djú
↦ O. Brynhildsen
1–0 R. Bardghji
L. Lerager
77′
80′
🔁 A. Rømer
↦ K. Olsson
80′
🔁 A. Gabriel
↦ H. Dalsgaard
82′
🟨 Franculino
R. Bardghji 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

1 K. Grabara
22 P. Ankersen
6 C. Sørensen
3 D. Vavro
2 K. Diks
33 R. Falk
12 L. Lerager
9 Diogo Gonçalves
39 O. Højlund
14 A. Cornelius
11 J. Larsson
Bench (9)
18 O. Óskarsson
40 R. Bardghji
19 E. Jelert
7 V. Claesson
8 M. Tanlongo
41 A. Dithmer
15 K. Babacar
47 V. Froholdt
20 N. Boilesen

Coach: J. Neestrup

Midtjylland

50 M. Fraisl
14 H. Dalsgaard
15 S. Ingason
29 Paulinho
22 M. Bech
8 K. Olsson
24 O. Sørensen
37 A. Gigović
9 O. Brynhildsen
58 A. Şimşir
10 Cho Gue-Sung
Bench (9)
44 N. Dyhr
11 D. Osorio
17 Franculino Djú
2 A. Rømer
13 A. Gabriel
90 O. Hedvall
35 Charles
25 I. Fossum
3 Lee Han-Beom

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.