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LaLiga2

Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo

Almeria

S T U T S

1–2

Full-time

Burgos

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,2

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

53%

41%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

65%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Burgos 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	18	11	3	4	+15	+0.2	36
2	La Coruna	18	9	5	4	+12	+2.8	32
3	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+11	+0.4	32
4	Las Palmas	17	8	6	3	+8	+0.2	30
5	Castellon	17	8	4	5	+6	+3.2	28
6	Sp Gijon	18	8	3	7	-1	+1.0	27
7	Cadiz	18	7	6	5	-1	-0.8	27
8	Burgos	17	7	4	6	+5	+1.5	25
9	Ceuta	17	7	4	6	-3	-3.2	25
10	Valladolid	18	6	6	6	+4	+3.9	24
11	Malaga	18	6	5	7	+1	-1.3	23
12	Cordoba	18	5	8	5	-1	+0.6	23
13	Cultural Leonesa	18	7	2	9	-4	-5.8	23
14	Albacete	18	6	4	8	-6	-0.7	22
15	Huesca	18	6	4	8	-6	+1.3	22
16	Sociedad B	18	6	3	9	+0	+0.7	21
17	Andorra	18	5	6	7	-6	-1.3	21
18	Leganes	18	4	8	6	-2	+1.4	20
19	Granada	18	4	8	6	-3	-0.1	20
20	Eibar	18	4	6	8	-6	+0.1	18
21	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-9	-0.7	16
22	Zaragoza	18	4	4	10	-14	-3.5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.4	20
2	Sociedad B	9	5	3	1	+7	+0.4	18
3	Ceuta	8	6	0	2	+5	-0.4	18
4	Sp Gijon	10	5	3	2	+3	+1.5	18
5	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+8	+2.5	17
6	Las Palmas	9	5	2	2	+5	+0.3	17
7	Malaga	9	4	4	1	+7	-1.1	16
8	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+5	+3.0	15
9	La Coruna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.4	15
10	Huesca	9	4	3	2	+1	+0.0	15
11	Castellon	8	4	2	2	+3	+1.5	14
12	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	+0	+1.3	14
13	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.8	12
14	Burgos	9	3	3	3	+2	+2.1	12
15	Cordoba	9	3	3	3	-1	-1.2	12
16	Granada	9	2	4	3	+0	+2.3	10
17	Albacete	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.2	10
18	Andorra	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.3	8
20	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-9	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	8	1	3	4	-4	+1.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	9	5	2	2	+8	+0.4	17
2	Santander	8	5	1	2	+4	-0.2	16
3	Almeria	9	4	3	2	+3	-2.1	15
4	Cultural Leonesa	9	5	0	4	+1	-6.1	15
5	Castellon	9	4	2	3	+3	+1.7	14
6	Leganes	10	3	5	2	+2	+0.2	14
7	Burgos	8	4	1	3	+3	-0.6	13
8	Las Palmas	8	3	4	1	+3	-0.1	13
9	Cadiz	9	3	4	2	-1	-2.1	13
10	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+2	+0.1	12
11	Albacete	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
12	Andorra	10	3	3	4	-5	-0.7	12
13	Cordoba	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.8	11
14	Granada	9	2	4	3	-3	-2.4	10
15	Mirandes	9	2	3	4	-1	-0.2	9
16	Sp Gijon	8	3	0	5	-4	-0.4	9
17	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-5	-3.1	8
18	Malaga	9	2	1	6	-6	-0.1	7
19	Huesca	9	2	1	6	-7	+1.3	7
20	Ceuta	9	1	4	4	-8	-2.8	7
21	Sociedad B	9	1	0	8	-7	+0.3	3
22	Eibar	9	0	3	6	-11	-2.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.