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Bundesliga
Referee: A Sadikovski
Salzburg
T T U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 66%
69%
63%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,64 xG 1,97
59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Wolfsberger AC 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 8 5 3 +14 +4.3 29
2 LASK 17 9 2 6 +3 +0.3 29
3 Sturm Graz 16 9 1 6 +6 +4.6 28
4 Hartberg 17 7 5 5 +4 -1.6 26
5 Ried 17 8 2 7 +0 +0.9 26
6 Wolfsberger AC 16 7 3 6 +5 -2.0 24
7 SK Rapid 16 7 3 6 +0 -1.4 24
8 Austria Vienna 16 7 2 7 -3 -1.8 23
9 Altach 17 5 6 6 -1 -1.6 21
10 Tirol 17 5 6 6 -2 +4.5 21
11 Grazer AK 17 3 6 8 -12 -2.8 15
12 BW Linz 16 3 1 12 -14 -3.5 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Wolfsberger AC
1–0 K. Alajbegovic
7′
Soumaïla Diabaté 🟨
23′
35′
D. Zukic 1–1
Half-time 1–1
V. Sulzbacher 🔁
↦ S. Diabate
46′
Valentin Sulzbacher 🟨
51′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
58′
61′
🔁 E. Chukwu
↦ S. Piesinger
61′
🔁 E. Kojzek
↦ M. Pink
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ M. K. Yeo
73′
Frans Krätzig 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 D. Atanga
↦ D. Avdijaj
77′
🟨 Fabian Wohlmuth
85′
🔁 B. Matic
↦ F. Wohlmuth
2–1 K. Alajbegovic
S. Lainer
86′
C. Bischoff 🔁
↦ K. Alajbegovic
89′
Valentin Sulzbacher 🟨
96′
Valentin Sulzbacher 🟥
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
23 J. Gadou D
2 J. Rasmussen D
13 F. Kratzig D
5 S. Diabate M
18 M. Bidstrup M
20 E. Baidoo M
49 M. K. Yeo M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
21 P. Ratkov F
Bench (9)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
3 A. Terzic
7 C. Bischoff
9 K. Onisiwo
11 Y. Vertessen
19 K. Konate
25 O. Lukic
37 T. Trummer
38 V. Sulzbacher

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-3
12 N. Polster G
31 F. Wohlmuth D
15 C. Diabate D
37 N. Wimmer D
77 R. Renner D
30 M. Sulzner M
8 S. Piesinger M
34 E. Agyeman M
32 M. Pink F
20 D. Zukic F
10 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (9)
1 L. Gutlbauer
13 T. Gruber
2 B. Matic
35 E. Chukwu
14 R. Tochukwu
7 A. Gattermayer
6 F. Hajdini
17 D. Atanga
9 E. Kojzek

Coach: Ismail Atalan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sadikovski · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.