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LaLiga2

Referee: Andrés Fuentes

Almeria

U T T U T

2–0

Full-time

Burgos

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

14%

57%

Points per game

0,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

20 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 20. · Burgos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	8	5	0	3	+6	15
2	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Burgos	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Santander	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Zaragoza	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Sp Gijon	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Mirandes	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Eldense	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Oviedo	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Castellon	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Elche	8	3	1	4	+0	10
13	Granada	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Malaga	7	2	4	1	-1	10
15	Albacete	7	3	0	4	-2	9
16	Cadiz	8	2	3	3	-4	9
17	Cordoba	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-2	7
19	Cartagena	7	2	0	5	-4	6
20	Almeria	7	1	3	3	-5	6
21	Ferrol	8	1	3	4	-6	6
22	Tenerife	7	0	2	5	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Cordoba	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Levante	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elche	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Burgos	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Eldense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Malaga	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Oviedo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Santander	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Ferrol	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Castellon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Granada	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Almeria	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-5	2
21	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Cartagena	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Zaragoza	5	2	1	2	+3	7
4	Burgos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Cadiz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Levante	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Castellon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Albacete	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Huesca	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Cartagena	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Eibar	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	La Coruna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Eldense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Malaga	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Elche	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Mirandes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Tenerife	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Ferrol	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Cordoba	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.