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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergui Claudiu Muresan
Ceuta
T S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
41%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
41%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,3
1,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ceuta 9. · Las Palmas 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 3 4 +15 +0.2 36
2 La Coruna 18 9 5 4 +12 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 18 9 5 4 +10 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 17 8 6 3 +8 +0.2 30
5 Castellon 17 8 4 5 +6 +3.2 28
6 Burgos 18 8 4 6 +6 +1.5 28
7 Sp Gijon 18 8 3 7 -1 +1.0 27
8 Cadiz 18 7 6 5 -1 -0.8 27
9 Ceuta 17 7 4 6 -3 -3.2 25
10 Valladolid 18 6 6 6 +4 +3.9 24
11 Malaga 18 6 5 7 +1 -1.3 23
12 Cordoba 18 5 8 5 -1 +0.6 23
13 Cultural Leonesa 18 7 2 9 -4 -5.8 23
14 Albacete 18 6 4 8 -6 -0.7 22
15 Huesca 18 6 4 8 -6 +1.3 22
16 Sociedad B 18 6 3 9 +0 +0.7 21
17 Andorra 18 5 6 7 -6 -1.3 21
18 Leganes 18 4 8 6 -2 +1.4 20
19 Granada 18 4 8 6 -3 -0.1 20
20 Eibar 18 4 6 8 -6 +0.1 18
21 Mirandes 17 4 4 9 -9 -0.7 16
22 Zaragoza 18 4 4 10 -14 -3.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ceuta Las Palmas
Cristian Rodríguez 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–1
52′
E. Clemente 0–1
L. Amatucci
56′
🔁 M. Lukovic
↦ Jese
Youness 🔁
↦ Y. Bodiger
61′
Anuar 🔁
↦ C. Rodriguez
61′
69′
🔁 I. Gil
↦ J. Viera
K. Zalazar 🔁
↦ K. de la Fuente
73′
75′
🟨 Marvin Park
79′
🔁 Alex Suarez
↦ Viti
79′
🔁 E. Cedeno
↦ E. Loiodice
79′
🔁 C. Gutierrez
↦ M. Fuster
80′
🟨 José Antonio Caro
Marcos Fernández 🟨
86′
J. Ortuno 🔁
↦ Jamelli
88′
S. Sanchez 🔁
↦ A. Ahmed
88′
1–1 Matos Jose
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
13 G. Vallejo G
7 A. Ahmed D
6 C. Hernandez D
15 D. Gonzalez D
3 Matos Jose D
19 Jamelli M
14 Y. Bodiger M
10 C. Rodriguez M
18 K. de la Fuente F
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
28 Peri
1 P. Lopez
24 Y. Cantero
4 A. Caparros
16 C. Redruello Nimo
5 Youness
30 Josema
23 Anuar
12 S. Obeng
11 J. Ortuno
25 S. Sanchez
8 K. Zalazar

Coach: Antonio José Poveda Sánchez

Las Palmas

4-4-2
13 J. Caro G
2 Marvin D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
17 Viti M
12 E. Loiodice M
16 L. Amatucci M
14 M. Fuster M
10 Jese F
21 J. Viera F
Bench (11)
35 A. Suarez
4 Alex Suarez
7 J. Mata
8 I. Gil
11 M. Cardona
15 J. Herzog
18 E. Cedeno
23 C. Gutierrez
24 Pejino
25 M. Lukovic
26 I. Gonzalez

Coach: Luis García Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
2,90
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.