Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Brentford

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Leeds

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brentford Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

40%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

60%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,52

57% Possession 43%

7 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 15. · Leeds 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	16	11	3	2	+20	+17.5	36
2	Man City	16	11	1	4	+22	+13.2	34
3	Aston Villa	16	10	3	3	+8	-4.8	33
4	Chelsea	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.5	28
5	Crystal Palace	16	7	5	4	+5	+7.9	26
6	Liverpool	16	8	2	6	+2	+6.7	26
7	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	+2	-8.0	26
8	Man United	15	7	4	4	+4	+7.4	25
9	Everton	16	7	3	6	-1	-2.9	24
10	Brighton	16	6	5	5	+2	+4.6	23
11	Tottenham	16	6	4	6	+4	-7.0	22
12	Newcastle	16	6	4	6	+1	+3.8	22
13	Fulham	16	6	2	8	-3	-4.6	20
14	Bournemouth	15	5	5	5	-3	+1.7	20
15	Brentford	15	6	1	8	-3	+2.6	19
16	Nott'm Forest	16	5	3	8	-8	-3.1	18
17	Leeds	15	4	3	8	-10	-1.7	15
18	West Ham	16	3	4	9	-13	-10.1	13
19	Burnley	16	3	1	12	-15	-18.7	10
20	Wolves	16	0	2	14	-26	-11.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	8	7	1	0	+17	+11.1	22
2	Man City	8	7	0	1	+16	+10.4	21
3	Aston Villa	8	6	1	1	+7	-1.4	19
4	Sunderland	8	5	3	0	+8	-0.9	18
5	Brentford	7	5	1	1	+7	+4.5	16
6	Newcastle	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.9	16
7	Liverpool	8	5	1	2	+4	+4.3	16
8	Brighton	8	4	3	1	+5	+3.1	15
9	Bournemouth	8	4	3	1	+5	+5.4	15
10	Chelsea	8	4	2	2	+5	+4.3	14
11	Everton	8	4	2	2	+2	+1.5	14
12	Fulham	8	4	1	3	+4	+0.2	13
13	Man United	7	4	1	2	+4	+7.9	13
14	Leeds	8	3	3	2	+2	+6.2	12
15	Crystal Palace	8	2	4	2	-1	+6.6	10
16	Nott'm Forest	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.9	10
17	Tottenham	8	2	2	4	+1	-0.9	8
18	Burnley	8	2	1	5	-3	-7.4	7
19	West Ham	8	2	0	6	-10	-3.8	6
20	Wolves	8	0	1	7	-14	-4.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Crystal Palace	8	5	1	2	+6	+1.3	16
2	Chelsea	8	4	2	2	+7	+2.3	14
3	Tottenham	8	4	2	2	+3	-6.2	14
4	Arsenal	8	4	2	2	+3	+6.3	14
5	Aston Villa	8	4	2	2	+1	-3.4	14
6	Man City	8	4	1	3	+6	+2.8	13
7	Man United	8	3	3	2	+0	-0.5	12
8	Liverpool	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.4	10
9	Everton	8	3	1	4	-3	-4.3	10
10	Brighton	8	2	2	4	-3	+1.4	8
11	Nott'm Forest	8	2	2	4	-6	-6.0	8
12	Sunderland	8	2	2	4	-6	-7.1	8
13	West Ham	8	1	4	3	-3	-6.3	7
14	Fulham	8	2	1	5	-7	-4.8	7
15	Newcastle	8	1	3	4	-3	-1.1	6
16	Bournemouth	7	1	2	4	-8	-3.7	5
17	Brentford	8	1	0	7	-10	-1.8	3
18	Burnley	8	1	0	7	-12	-11.3	3
19	Leeds	7	1	0	6	-12	-7.9	3
20	Wolves	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.