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DBU Pokalen
Nordsjaelland
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
5,0
4,2
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,7
4,3
Scored
2,3
4,0
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nordsjaelland 27. · Midtjylland 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odense 5 4 0 1 +16 12
2 Vejle 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 FC Copenhagen 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Viborg 5 3 1 1 +9 10
5 Esbjerg 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Aarhus Fremad 4 3 0 1 +12 9
7 Midtjylland 3 3 0 0 +11 9
8 Hobro 4 3 0 1 +3 9
9 Aarhus 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Fredericia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
11 Brønshøj 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Lyseng 4 2 1 1 -2 7
13 Sonderjyske 3 2 0 1 +10 6
14 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
15 Holbæk B&I 3 2 0 1 +7 6
16 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
17 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
19 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
21 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
23 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 Silkeborg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
25 Oksbøl 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
27 Nordsjaelland 3 2 0 1 +0 6
28 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
29 B 93 3 1 1 1 +7 4
30 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
31 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
32 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
33 Randers FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Lyngby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
35 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
36 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
37 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
38 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Brondby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
54 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
56 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
58 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
99 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
100 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
101 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
102 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
103 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
104 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Midtjylland
1–0 P. Amoako
N. Rojkjaer
5′
P. Amoako 🟥
40′
Half-time 1–0
V. Bak 🔁
↦ Paulinho
46′
P. Billing 🔁
↦ P. Bravo
46′
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
46′
Junior Brumado 🔁
↦ K. Mbabu
46′
54′
Junior Brumado 1–1
55′
🟨 Junior Brumado
65′
🟨 Cho Gue-Sung
69′
🔁 M. Heyde
↦ O. Solbakken
69′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ A. Lind
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ M. Gogorza
80′
85′
🔁 M. Walker
↦ R. Norheim
M. Walker 🟨
86′
2–1 L. Nene
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

1 J. Lossl
3 Lee Han-Beom
6 M. Erlic
22 M. Bech Sorensen
43 K. Mbabu
19 P. Bravo
21 D. Castillo
29 Paulinho
10 Cho Gue-Sung
11 D. Osorio
41 M. Gogorza
Bench (9)
16 E. Olafsson
4 O. Diao
55 V. Bak
80 Dani Silva
8 P. Billing
20 V. Byskov
90 F. Etim
74 Junior Brumado
58 A. Simsir

Coach: Jens Fønsskov Olsen

Midtjylland

13 A. Hansen
2 P. Ankersen
36 C. Yirenkyi
45 N. Markmann
23 R. Norheim
6 M. Brink
18 J. Janssen
8 N. Rojkjaer
9 O. Solbakken
11 A. Lind
22 P. Amoako
Bench (9)
38 W. Lykke
30 I. Seidu
28 M. Walker
47 M. Heyde
27 D. Sanoussi
35 V. Rutkjaer
32 V. Gustafsen
17 L. Nene
40 H. Rasmussen

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.