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LaLiga2
Burgos
S U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Almeria
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 48%
38%
57%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
35%
43%
Both score Ø 37%
27%
46%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

13 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 4
7 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 11. · Almeria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 21 11 6 +16 74
2 Almeria 37 21 7 9 +26 70
3 Valladolid 37 20 9 8 +21 69
4 Tenerife 37 18 9 10 +18 63
5 Oviedo 38 16 15 7 +16 63
6 Girona 37 18 7 12 +14 61
7 Las Palmas 38 15 13 10 +5 58
8 Ponferradina 37 15 12 10 +4 57
9 Cartagena 37 16 4 17 +2 52
10 Huesca 37 12 14 11 +9 50
11 Burgos 37 14 8 15 +3 50
12 Zaragoza 38 10 19 9 -6 49
13 Ibiza 37 11 15 11 -1 48
14 Lugo 37 9 19 9 -2 46
15 Leganes 37 11 13 13 -4 46
16 Mirandes 38 13 7 18 -9 46
17 Sp Gijon 37 10 11 16 -4 41
18 Malaga 38 10 11 17 -21 41
19 Amorebieta 37 6 16 15 -14 34
20 Sociedad B 37 8 10 19 -16 34
21 Fuenlabrada 37 5 14 18 -22 29
22 Alcorcon 37 4 10 23 -35 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Nov -21 Almeria – Burgos 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,82
U
3,20
B ✓
2,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.