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LaLiga2

Referee: Luis Bestard Servera

Burgos

S S S U S

0–2

Full-time

Santander

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 54%

50%

57%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

50%

93%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,4

3,9

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,15 xG 1,22

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 5. · Santander 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	15	8	5	2	+15	+2.8	29
2	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+9	+1.2	29
3	Almeria	14	8	4	2	+11	+0.4	28
4	Santander	14	8	2	4	+8	-1.0	26
5	Burgos	14	7	4	3	+9	+2.8	25
6	Castellon	15	6	4	5	+3	+2.4	22
7	Cordoba	15	5	6	4	+0	-0.2	21
8	Cadiz	15	5	6	4	-2	-2.0	21
9	Valladolid	14	5	5	4	+3	+3.9	20
10	Cultural Leonesa	15	6	2	7	-2	-4.5	20
11	Sp Gijon	15	6	2	7	-3	+0.0	20
12	Albacete	15	5	4	6	-3	-0.7	19
13	Leganes	15	4	6	5	-1	+2.7	18
14	Huesca	15	5	3	7	-5	+1.3	18
15	Ceuta	14	5	3	6	-5	-3.4	18
16	Eibar	15	4	5	6	-1	-0.3	17
17	Andorra	15	4	5	6	-6	-1.3	17
18	Granada	15	3	7	5	-3	+0.8	16
19	Sociedad B	14	4	3	7	-2	+0.2	15
20	Malaga	14	4	3	7	-2	-1.3	15
21	Mirandes	14	3	3	8	-9	-0.5	12
22	Zaragoza	15	3	3	9	-14	-3.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Almeria	7	5	1	1	+8	+2.5	16
2	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	-0.4	16
3	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+5	+0.5	16
4	La Coruna	7	4	3	0	+9	+2.4	15
5	Sociedad B	7	4	3	0	+7	+0.4	15
6	Eibar	8	4	3	1	+6	+1.8	15
7	Huesca	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.0	15
8	Sp Gijon	8	4	2	2	+2	+0.5	14
9	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+1	+0.6	14
10	Malaga	7	3	3	1	+6	-1.1	12
11	Burgos	7	3	3	1	+5	+3.1	12
12	Ceuta	6	4	0	2	+3	-0.6	12
13	Valladolid	8	3	2	3	+3	+3.8	11
14	Castellon	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.7	11
15	Cordoba	7	3	2	2	+0	-0.7	11
16	Albacete	7	3	1	3	-2	-0.2	10
17	Granada	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.3	9
18	Andorra	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.6	9
19	Cultural Leonesa	7	2	2	3	-2	+0.5	8
20	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-4	+2.5	5
21	Zaragoza	7	1	2	4	-9	-0.4	5
22	Mirandes	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	8	4	2	2	+6	+0.4	14
2	Burgos	7	4	1	2	+4	-0.4	13
3	Las Palmas	7	3	4	0	+4	+0.7	13
4	Leganes	8	3	4	1	+3	+0.2	13
5	Almeria	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.1	12
6	Cultural Leonesa	8	4	0	4	+0	-5.0	12
7	Castellon	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.7	11
8	Santander	6	3	1	2	+1	-0.5	10
9	Cordoba	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.5	10
10	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.1	9
11	Albacete	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.5	9
12	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.5	8
13	Andorra	8	2	2	4	-6	-0.7	8
14	Granada	7	1	4	2	-3	-1.5	7
15	Cadiz	7	1	4	2	-3	-2.6	7
16	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.1	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.4	6
18	Ceuta	8	1	3	4	-8	-2.8	6
19	Malaga	7	1	0	6	-8	-0.1	3
20	Huesca	7	1	0	6	-9	+1.3	3
21	Eibar	7	0	2	5	-7	-2.1	2
22	Sociedad B	7	0	0	7	-9	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.