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LaLiga2

Referee: Miguel González

Burgos

T T S S S

3–1

Full-time

Almeria

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

42%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

26%

61%

Both score Ø 53%

32%

74%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

7 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 11. · Almeria 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	31	15	11	5	+18	56
2	Santander	31	16	8	7	+14	56
3	Mirandes	31	16	7	8	+16	55
4	Elche	31	15	9	7	+16	54
5	Huesca	31	14	9	8	+15	51
6	Oviedo	31	14	9	8	+6	51
7	Almeria	31	13	11	7	+13	50
8	Granada	31	12	10	9	+8	46
9	Cadiz	31	11	11	9	+3	44
10	Cordoba	31	12	8	11	-1	44
11	Burgos	31	12	6	13	-7	42
12	La Coruna	31	10	11	10	+4	41
13	Sp Gijon	31	9	14	8	+4	41
14	Eibar	31	11	8	12	-2	41
15	Castellon	31	11	7	13	-1	40
16	Albacete	31	10	10	11	-1	40
17	Malaga	31	8	15	8	-3	39
18	Zaragoza	31	9	9	13	-2	36
19	Eldense	31	9	8	14	-11	35
20	Ferrol	31	4	11	16	-31	23
21	Tenerife	31	5	7	19	-20	22
22	Cartagena	31	4	3	24	-38	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	16	12	3	1	+18	39
2	Elche	16	12	2	2	+19	38
3	Levante	15	8	6	1	+14	30
4	Oviedo	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Huesca	15	8	5	2	+13	29
6	Santander	16	8	4	4	+12	28
7	Almeria	15	7	7	1	+11	28
8	Eibar	15	8	4	3	+4	28
9	Granada	16	7	6	3	+13	27
10	Albacete	16	7	6	3	+6	27
11	Cordoba	15	7	5	3	+11	26
12	Sp Gijon	16	7	5	4	+5	26
13	Cadiz	16	6	6	4	+3	24
14	Malaga	15	6	6	3	+2	24
15	Burgos	15	7	3	5	+1	24
16	Castellon	16	6	3	7	+1	21
17	Tenerife	15	5	4	6	+1	19
18	Eldense	16	5	4	7	-5	19
19	La Coruna	15	4	6	5	-1	18
20	Zaragoza	15	4	4	7	-2	16
21	Ferrol	16	1	7	8	-15	10
22	Cartagena	15	2	2	11	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	15	8	4	3	+2	28
2	Levante	16	7	5	4	+4	26
3	La Coruna	16	6	5	5	+5	23
4	Almeria	16	6	4	6	+2	22
5	Huesca	16	6	4	6	+2	22
6	Oviedo	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Zaragoza	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Cadiz	15	5	5	5	+0	20
9	Castellon	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Granada	15	5	4	6	-5	19
11	Burgos	16	5	3	8	-8	18
12	Cordoba	16	5	3	8	-12	18
13	Mirandes	15	4	4	7	-2	16
14	Elche	15	3	7	5	-3	16
15	Eldense	15	4	4	7	-6	16
16	Sp Gijon	15	2	9	4	-1	15
17	Malaga	16	2	9	5	-5	15
18	Eibar	16	3	4	9	-6	13
19	Albacete	15	3	4	8	-7	13
20	Ferrol	15	3	4	8	-16	13
21	Cartagena	16	2	1	13	-25	7
22	Tenerife	16	0	3	13	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.