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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Burgos
U S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Albacete
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,74 xG 0,75
54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 6. · Albacete 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 17 11 2 4 +15 +0.2 35
2 La Coruna 17 9 5 3 +15 +2.8 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 16 8 5 3 +8 +0.4 29
5 Castellon 17 8 4 5 +6 +3.2 28
6 Burgos 16 7 4 5 +6 +1.5 25
7 Ceuta 17 7 4 6 -3 -3.2 25
8 Valladolid 17 6 6 5 +5 +3.9 24
9 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 -2 +0.0 24
10 Cadiz 17 6 6 5 -2 -0.8 24
11 Cultural Leonesa 17 7 2 8 -2 -5.8 23
12 Cordoba 17 5 7 5 -1 +0.6 22
13 Granada 17 4 8 5 -2 +0.9 20
14 Malaga 16 5 4 7 -1 -1.3 19
15 Leganes 17 4 7 6 -2 +1.4 19
16 Albacete 16 5 4 7 -5 -0.7 19
17 Huesca 17 5 4 8 -8 +1.3 19
18 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
19 Andorra 17 4 6 7 -7 -1.3 18
20 Eibar 17 4 5 8 -6 +0.1 17
21 Mirandes 16 4 3 9 -9 -0.9 15
22 Zaragoza 16 4 3 9 -13 -3.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Albacete
Florian Miguel 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
F. Nino 🔁
↦ M. Gonzalez
46′
I. Cordoba 🔁
↦ K. Appin
46′
F. Garcia 🔁
↦ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
63′
69′
🔁 J. Betancor
↦ D. Escriche
69′
🔁 J. Lazo
↦ J. Morcillo
M. Mejia 🔁
↦ Curro
74′
78′
🟨 Jonathan Gómez
79′
🔁 Agus Medina
↦ V. Valverde
79′
🔁 F. Gamez
↦ Lorenzo
82′
J. Betancor 0–1
Pepe
V. Mollejo 🔁
↦ I. Morante
84′
Fermín García 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 J. Moreno
↦ Jogo
Álex Lizancos 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
18 A. Cordoba D
8 G. Sierra D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
10 K. Appin M
16 Curro F
20 M. Gonzalez F
Bench (12)
11 V. Mollejo
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
9 F. Nino
36 I. Martinez
28 S. del Cerro
1 J. Ruiz
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero
15 A. Bunuel
31 F. Garcia
21 I. Cordoba

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort

Albacete

5-4-1
1 D. Marino G
2 Lorenzo D
24 J. Vallejo D
23 Pepe D
21 C. Neva D
3 Jogo D
22 J. Morcillo M
8 R. Rodriguez M
6 A. Pacheco M
11 V. Valverde M
19 D. Escriche F
Bench (11)
4 Agus Medina
5 J. Moreno
10 J. Betancor
15 F. Gamez
17 A. Melendez
13 R. Lizoain
27 D. Bernabeu
14 H. J. Garcia
16 J. Lazo
26 Capi
35 A. Morientes Palencia

Coach: Alberto González Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,03
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.