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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Al-Emara
Legia
U T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
24%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
44%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 16. · Piast Gliwice 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 18 7 9 2 +9 +2.4 30
2 Gornik Zabrze 18 9 3 6 +5 -3.6 30
3 Jagiellonia 17 8 5 4 +8 -2.3 29
4 Rakow 18 9 2 7 +3 +3.0 29
5 Zaglebie 18 7 7 4 +7 +0.3 28
6 Cracovia 18 7 6 5 +4 +2.9 27
7 Radomiak Radom 18 7 5 6 +5 +0.9 26
8 Lech Poznan 17 6 8 3 +3 +10.3 26
9 Lechia Gdansk 18 7 4 7 +0 -0.1 25
10 Korona Kielce 18 6 6 6 +2 +0.2 24
11 Pogon Szczecin 18 6 3 9 -4 +7.9 21
12 Motor Lublin 18 4 9 5 -5 -1.9 21
13 Arka Gdynia 18 6 3 9 -17 -6.4 21
14 Widzew Lodz 18 6 2 10 -2 +2.7 20
15 GKS Katowice 17 6 2 9 -5 -7.8 20
16 Legia 17 4 7 6 -1 +1.0 19
17 Nieciecza 18 5 4 9 -11 -4.2 19
18 Piast Gliwice 16 4 5 7 -1 -5.2 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Piast Gliwice
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Filip Borowski
Vahan Bichakhchyan 🟨
59′
Kamil Piątkowski 🟨
60′
K. Urbanski 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
67′
67′
🔁 M. Chrapek
↦ H. Vallejo
67′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
B. Kapustka 🔁
↦ W. Urbanski
74′
A. Colak 🔁
↦ M. Rajovic
74′
76′
🔁 J. Felix
↦ L. Sanca
76′
🔁 A. Dalmau
↦ G. Barkovskiy
83′
M. Chrapek 0–1
P. Stojanovic 🔁
↦ E. Krasniqi
84′
D. Szymanski 🔁
↦ H. Arreiol
84′
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
87′
91′
🔁 J. Czerwinski
↦ F. Borowski
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Legia

4-1-4-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
4 M. Burch D
91 K. Piatkowski D
23 P. Kun D
8 R. Augustyniak M
21 V. Bichakhchyan M
6 H. Arreiol M
53 W. Urbanski M
77 E. Krasniqi M
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (11)
27 G. Kobylak
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
30 P. Stojanovic
13 A. Reca
44 D. Szymanski
5 C. Goncalves
20 J. Zewlakow
11 K. Chodyna
67 B. Kapustka
82 K. Urbanski
14 A. Colak

Coach: Marek Papszun

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2
26 F. Plach G
28 F. Borowski D
5 Juande D
29 I. Drapinski D
36 J. Lewicki D
77 E. Jirka M
10 P. Dziczek M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
11 L. Sanca M
63 G. Barkovskiy F
80 H. Vallejo F
Bench (12)
33 K. Szymanski
79 D. Rychta
4 J. Czerwinski
15 L. Pitan
22 T. Mokwa
6 M. Chrapek
17 Q. Boisgard
19 K. Lubowiecki
23 S. Mucha
7 J. Felix
9 A. Dalmau
98 J. Lokilo

Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.