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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

NAC Breda

S T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Utrecht

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 32%

20%

43%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

60%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

64%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,20 xG 0,66

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · Utrecht 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	14	1	1	+30	+14.4	43
2	Feyenoord	16	11	1	4	+21	+22.0	34
3	Nijmegen	16	8	4	4	+14	+5.6	28
4	Ajax	15	7	5	3	+8	+0.4	26
5	Groningen	15	8	2	5	+5	+9.4	26
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	7	4	4	+4	+9.3	25
7	Twente	16	6	6	4	+5	+14.8	24
8	Utrecht	14	6	3	5	+6	-2.3	21
9	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-14	-6.6	20
10	Heerenveen	15	5	4	6	+0	+11.4	19
11	Zwolle	16	5	4	7	-16	-13.9	19
12	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	6	6	-3	-10.4	18
13	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-5	-4.8	18
14	Excelsior	15	5	1	9	-12	-11.1	16
15	Volendam	16	3	5	8	-11	-12.8	14
16	Heracles	16	4	2	10	-15	-10.8	14
17	Telstar	16	2	6	8	-8	-8.3	12
18	NAC Breda	15	3	3	9	-9	-6.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+13	+9.5	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	0	2	+10	+13.5	18
3	Nijmegen	7	5	1	1	+11	+6.4	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+10	+3.0	16
5	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.6	16
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+7	+7.2	14
7	Twente	8	4	2	2	+2	+9.9	14
8	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+2	+4.3	14
9	Zwolle	8	4	1	3	-4	-2.2	13
10	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+3	+5.1	12
11	Volendam	8	3	3	2	+3	+0.4	12
12	Go Ahead Eagles	7	3	3	1	+3	-0.2	12
13	Heerenveen	8	3	3	2	+1	+8.8	12
14	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	2	4	-9	-3.8	11
15	Heracles	7	3	1	3	+0	-0.3	10
16	NAC Breda	7	3	1	3	+0	+3.1	10
17	Excelsior	8	3	0	5	-3	-6.0	9
18	Telstar	9	1	4	4	-4	-0.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+17	+4.9	24
2	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+11	+8.5	16
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	+1	+4.2	13
4	Nijmegen	9	3	3	3	+3	-0.8	12
5	Groningen	7	4	0	3	-2	+2.2	12
6	Twente	8	2	4	2	+3	+4.9	10
7	Ajax	7	2	4	1	+2	-4.2	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-5	-2.7	9
9	Heerenveen	7	2	1	4	-1	+2.5	7
10	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-9	-5.0	7
11	Go Ahead Eagles	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.1	6
12	Zwolle	8	1	3	4	-12	-11.7	6
13	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-4	-5.2	5
14	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-4	-8.3	5
15	For Sittard	8	1	1	6	-7	-9.1	4
16	Heracles	9	1	1	7	-15	-10.5	4
17	NAC Breda	8	0	2	6	-9	-9.6	2
18	Volendam	8	0	2	6	-14	-13.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.