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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Aberdeen

U S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 27%

40%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

27%

63%

Both score Ø 42%

27%

56%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

21 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 6. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	17	11	5	1	+21	+5.8	38
2	Celtic	15	10	2	3	+14	+4.0	32
3	Motherwell	17	6	9	2	+10	+7.1	27
4	Rangers	15	6	8	1	+9	+0.2	26
5	Hibernian	16	6	6	4	+9	+1.7	24
6	Aberdeen	15	6	3	6	+0	-2.7	21
7	Falkirk	17	5	6	6	-7	-1.2	21
8	Dundee United	16	3	8	5	-4	-3.9	17
9	St Mirren	15	3	5	7	-8	+0.3	14
10	Dundee	17	3	4	10	-16	-7.1	13
11	Kilmarnock	16	2	6	8	-14	-4.4	12
12	Livingston	16	1	6	9	-14	-0.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	8	6	1	1	+13	+4.4	19
2	Hearts	8	5	3	0	+12	+2.6	18
3	Motherwell	8	4	3	1	+8	+5.5	15
4	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+7	+3.7	12
5	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
6	Rangers	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.8	10
7	Dundee	8	3	1	4	-3	-2.9	10
8	Aberdeen	8	2	3	3	+1	-3.9	9
9	Dundee United	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.7	9
10	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.5	9
11	Kilmarnock	9	1	3	5	-8	-0.5	6
12	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-2	+2.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	9	6	2	1	+9	+3.3	20
2	Rangers	8	4	4	0	+8	-1.6	16
3	Celtic	7	4	1	2	+1	-0.5	13
4	Motherwell	9	2	6	1	+2	+1.6	12
5	Hibernian	8	3	3	2	+2	-2.0	12
6	Aberdeen	7	4	0	3	-1	+1.2	12
7	Falkirk	8	3	1	4	-7	-2.2	10
8	Dundee United	8	1	5	2	-2	-2.1	8
9	Kilmarnock	7	1	3	3	-6	-3.8	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	9	0	4	5	-12	-2.0	4
12	Dundee	9	0	3	6	-13	-4.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.