Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Marseille
Monaco
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lens
|
16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | +15 | +7.4 | 37 |
| 2 |
Paris SG
|
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +21 | +15.7 | 36 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +13 | +7.3 | 32 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +20 | +13.4 | 29 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +6 | +6.4 | 27 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +3 | -1.1 | 27 |
| 7 |
Strasbourg
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | +6.5 | 23 |
| 8 |
Toulouse
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +5 | +3.3 | 23 |
| 9 |
Monaco
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +0 | +3.2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Angers
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -11.4 | 22 |
| 11 |
Brest
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -6 | +0.2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -9 | +0.7 | 18 |
| 13 |
Nice
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -10 | -11.8 | 17 |
| 14 |
Paris FC
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -8 | -5.8 | 16 |
| 15 |
Le Havre
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -9 | -2.8 | 15 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -11 | -2.4 | 12 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -14 | -15.6 | 11 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -20 | -13.4 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
M. Murillo
D
B. Pavard
D
N. Aguerd
D
Emerson
D
G. Kondogbia
M
P. Hojbjerg
M
M. Greenwood
M
A. Vermeeren
M
T. Weah
M
P. Aubameyang
F
Coach: Habib Beye
L. Hradecky
G
Vanderson
D
T. Kehrer
D
M. Salisu
D
Caio Henrique
D
L. Camara
M
D. Zakaria
M
M. Akliouche
M
T. Minamino
M
A. Golovin
M
F. Balogun
F
Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St. Gilloise
Marseille
Lille
Marseille
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Newcastle
Nice
Marseille
F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.