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LaLiga2

Referee: Rubén Ávalos

Almeria

T U T U U

2–2

Full-time

Malaga

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

61%

39%

Both score Ø 61%

75%

46%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 7. · Malaga 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	29	14	9	6	+18	51
2	Elche	28	14	8	6	+16	50
3	Oviedo	28	14	8	6	+8	50
4	Santander	28	14	7	7	+11	49
5	Mirandes	28	14	6	8	+13	48
6	Levante	28	12	11	5	+13	47
7	Almeria	28	12	10	6	+11	46
8	Granada	28	11	10	7	+11	43
9	Sp Gijon	29	9	12	8	+4	39
10	Castellon	29	11	6	12	+1	39
11	Cordoba	28	11	6	11	-6	39
12	Cadiz	28	9	11	8	+3	38
13	Malaga	28	8	14	6	+1	38
14	Eibar	29	10	7	12	-3	37
15	Zaragoza	29	9	9	11	+3	36
16	La Coruna	28	9	9	10	+3	36
17	Albacete	28	8	10	10	-5	34
18	Burgos	28	9	6	13	-10	33
19	Eldense	28	8	7	13	-12	31
20	Ferrol	28	4	10	14	-27	22
21	Tenerife	28	4	7	17	-19	19
22	Cartagena	29	4	3	22	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elche	15	11	2	2	+17	35
2	Mirandes	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Huesca	14	8	5	1	+14	29
4	Oviedo	14	9	2	3	+8	29
5	Levante	14	7	6	1	+11	27
6	Sp Gijon	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Eibar	14	7	4	3	+3	25
8	Granada	15	6	6	3	+10	24
9	Almeria	13	6	6	1	+8	24
10	Malaga	14	6	6	2	+4	24
11	Santander	14	6	4	4	+9	22
12	Cordoba	13	6	4	3	+6	22
13	Cadiz	15	5	6	4	+2	21
14	Albacete	14	5	6	3	+1	21
15	Burgos	14	6	3	5	+0	21
16	Castellon	15	6	2	7	+1	20
17	Eldense	14	5	3	6	-4	18
18	La Coruna	14	4	5	5	-1	17
19	Zaragoza	14	4	4	6	+0	16
20	Tenerife	14	4	4	6	-1	16
21	Ferrol	14	1	6	7	-14	9
22	Cartagena	14	2	2	10	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	14	8	3	3	+2	27
2	Huesca	15	6	4	5	+4	22
3	Almeria	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Oviedo	14	5	6	3	+0	21
5	Zaragoza	15	5	5	5	+3	20
6	Levante	14	5	5	4	+2	20
7	La Coruna	14	5	4	5	+4	19
8	Granada	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Castellon	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Cadiz	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Cordoba	15	5	2	8	-12	17
12	Elche	13	3	6	4	-1	15
13	Mirandes	14	4	3	7	-2	15
14	Sp Gijon	14	2	8	4	-1	14
15	Malaga	14	2	8	4	-3	14
16	Albacete	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Eldense	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Ferrol	14	3	4	7	-13	13
19	Eibar	15	3	3	9	-6	12
20	Burgos	14	3	3	8	-10	12
21	Cartagena	15	2	1	12	-22	7
22	Tenerife	14	0	3	11	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.