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Championship
Referee: T Kirk
QPR
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 34/32 matches
Win Ø 48%
32%
63%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
47%
34%
Both score Ø 47%
59%
34%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 0,91
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 14. · Sheffield United 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 35 22 10 3 +50 +43.0 76
2 Burnley 34 18 14 2 +34 +9.8 68
3 Sheffield United 32 20 6 6 +20 +12.3 66
4 Sunderland 33 18 10 5 +21 +10.7 64
5 West Brom 35 12 16 7 +13 +8.3 52
6 Coventry 34 15 7 12 +5 +18.8 52
7 Blackburn 35 15 7 13 +5 -0.2 52
8 Bristol City 33 12 13 8 +6 +5.4 49
9 Norwich 35 12 12 11 +8 +8.9 48
10 Watford 34 14 6 14 -3 -8.6 48
11 Middlesbrough 34 13 8 13 +8 +12.7 47
12 Millwall 34 11 12 11 +0 +5.1 45
13 Sheffield Weds 35 12 9 14 -9 -2.8 45
14 QPR 34 11 11 12 -3 -5.8 44
15 Preston 34 9 15 10 -5 -1.0 42
16 Swansea 34 11 7 16 -9 -1.1 40
17 Portsmouth 34 10 9 15 -13 -10.4 39
18 Oxford 35 9 11 15 -16 -19.4 38
19 Cardiff 34 8 12 14 -18 -13.7 36
20 Stoke 34 8 11 15 -13 -19.2 35
21 Hull 34 8 9 17 -11 -6.6 33
22 Plymouth 34 6 12 16 -32 -31.0 30
23 Derby 34 7 8 19 -14 -8.0 29
24 Luton 34 7 7 20 -24 -7.5 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Sheffield United
10′
B. Brereton 0–1
Vinicius Souza
14′
🟨 Hamza Choudhury
Half-time 0–1
Jimmy Dunne 🟨
49′
54′
T. Campbell 0–2
B. Brereton
K. Saito 🔁
↦ K. Morgan
57′
62′
🟨 Anel Ahmedhodžić
64′
🔁 F. Seriki
↦ H. Choudhury
64′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ G. Hamer
P. Smyth 🔁
↦ K. Paal
67′
A. Lloyd 🔁
↦ Yang Min-Hyeok
67′
1–2 M. Frey
72′
73′
🔁 T. Cannon
↦ T. Campbell
74′
🔁 S. McCallum
↦ C. OHare
75′
🟨 Ben Brereton Díaz
Jack Colback 🟨
78′
K. Dembélé 🔁
↦ J. Colback
81′
M. Fox 🔁
↦ S. Cook
81′
85′
🔁 R. Holding
↦ B. Brereton
Alfie Lloyd 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

QPR

4-1-4-1
1 P. Nardi G
3 J. Dunne D
5 S. Cook D
17 R. Edwards D
22 K. Paal D
40 J. Varane M
47 Yang Min-Hyeok M
21 K. Morgan M
4 J. Colback M
10 I. Chair M
12 M. Frey F
Bench (9)
14 K. Saito
11 P. Smyth
28 A. Lloyd
7 K. Dembélé
15 M. Fox
16 L. Morrison
25 L. Andersen
20 H. Ashby
13 J. Walsh

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
24 H. Choudhury D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
19 J. Robinson D
14 H. Burrows D
42 S. Peck M
21 Vinicius Souza M
20 B. Brereton M
10 C. O'Hare M
8 G. Hamer M
23 T. Campbell F
Bench (9)
38 F. Seriki
7 R. Brewster
28 T. Cannon
3 S. McCallum
5 R. Holding
9 K. Moore
35 A. Brooks
11 J. Rak-Sakyi
17 A. Davies

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
3,24
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.