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Pro League
Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui
St. Gilloise
S S T T S
4–1
Full-time
Dender
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Dender
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,88 xG 0,49
57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 4
15 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
2 Corners 5
7 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 5. · Dender 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 19 14 3 2 +17 +18.5 45
2 Club Brugge 18 11 5 2 +22 +19.6 38
3 Antwerp 18 10 7 1 +21 +1.9 37
4 Anderlecht 17 10 5 2 +22 +9.5 35
5 St. Gilloise 18 9 6 3 +12 +17.0 33
6 Gent 19 8 8 3 +15 +1.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 22 6 8 8 -11 -2.8 26
8 Dender 18 6 7 5 -1 -6.7 25
9 Standard 17 7 4 6 -7 -6.9 25
10 Charleroi 18 6 6 6 +1 +3.4 24
11 Mechelen 19 5 5 9 -4 -3.7 20
12 St Truiden 23 4 7 12 -21 -10.9 19
13 Westerlo 18 4 4 10 -5 -1.6 16
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 2 9 7 -6 -3.1 15
15 Beerschot VA 22 1 8 13 -25 -19.1 11
16 Kortrijk 22 3 2 17 -30 -16.2 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -24 Dender – St. Gilloise 0–0

Match report

St. Gilloise Dender
13′
ℹ️ Bruny Nsimba
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 M. Rasmussen
A. Ait El Hadj
28′
2–0 A. Ait El Hadj
M. Rasmussen
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Berte
↦ R. Oratmangoen
3–0 P. David
53′
K. Van de Perre 🔁
↦ N. Sadiki
65′
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ F. Ivanović
65′
65′
🔁 T. Holmes
↦ K. Cools
65′
🔁 M. Viltard
↦ B. Nsimba
74′
🔁 L. Hens
↦ D. Sylla
74′
🔁 B. Goncalves
↦ F. Ferraro
75′
A. Scheidler 3–1
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ P. David
77′
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
77′
78′
🟨 Malcolm Viltard
Christian Burgess 🟨
79′
F. Leysen 🔁
↦ O. Niang
83′
4–1 M. Fuseini
S. Boufal
86′
88′
🟨 Thomas Holmes
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
25 A. Khalaili M
27 N. Sadiki M
4 M. Rasmussen M
22 O. Niang M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
9 F. Ivanović F
12 P. David F
Bench (9)
6 K. Van de Perre
77 M. Fuseini
13 K. Rodríguez
23 S. Boufal
48 F. Leysen
20 M. Giger
11 H. Teklab
1 V. Chambaere
26 R. Sykes

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Dender

3-5-2
34 M. Verrips G
22 G. Ruyssen D
21 K. Cools D
3 J. Pupe D
53 D. Sylla M
17 N. Mbamba M
26 R. Oratmangoen M
18 N. Rôdes M
88 F. Ferraro M
77 B. Nsimba F
11 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
90 M. Berte
29 T. Holmes
24 M. Viltard
10 L. Hens
4 B. Goncalves
30 G. Dietsch
19 J. Attah Kadiri
20 D. Hrnčár
23 D. Acquah

Coach: V. Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,17
B
8,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,19
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Bourdeaud'hui · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.