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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Karlsruhe
T U T T S
1–0
Full-time
FC Koln
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
39%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
78%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
83%
52%
Average goals
3,7
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 10. · FC Koln 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 23 11 9 3 +22 42
2 Kaiserslautern 24 12 6 6 +8 42
3 FC Koln 23 12 5 6 +8 41
4 Magdeburg 23 10 8 5 +12 38
5 Paderborn 23 10 8 5 +8 38
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 10 8 6 +7 38
7 Hannover 24 10 8 6 +7 38
8 Elversberg 23 10 6 7 +10 36
9 Nurnberg 24 10 5 9 +3 35
10 Karlsruhe 23 9 6 8 +0 33
11 Greuther Furth 24 9 5 10 -8 32
12 Schalke 04 24 8 6 10 -3 30
13 Darmstadt 23 7 7 9 +3 28
14 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -4 26
15 Preußen Münster 24 5 8 11 -7 23
16 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -21 22
17 Ulm 24 3 10 11 -6 19
18 Regensburg 24 4 3 17 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Sep -24 FC Koln – Karlsruhe 4–4

Match report

Karlsruhe FC Koln
Christoph Kobald 🟨
3′
22′
🟨 Florian Kainz
39′
🔁 I. Rondić
↦ L. Maina
Dženis Burnić 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
0–1 T. Hübers
own goal
52′
57′
🔁 D. Huseinbašić
↦ J. Schmied
D. Herold 🔁
↦ L. Günther
63′
R. Heußer 🔁
↦ D. Burnić
63′
L. Jensen 🔁
↦ N. Rapp
78′
Mikkel Kaufmann 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Timo Hübers
85′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ D. Ljubičić
R. Pedrosa 🔁
↦ S. Jung
87′
L. Ben Farhat 🔁
↦ M. Kaufmann
87′
Louey Ben Farhat 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Dominique Heintz
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

3-5-2
1 M. Weiß G
22 C. Kobald D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
2 S. Jung M
7 D. Burnić M
17 N. Rapp M
10 M. Wanitzek M
29 L. Günther M
24 F. Schleusener F
14 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (9)
20 D. Herold
5 R. Heußer
6 L. Jensen
36 R. Pedrosa
19 L. Ben Farhat
32 R. Bormuth
16 L. Pfeiffer
25 L. Egloff
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: C. Eichner

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
4 T. Hübers D
2 J. Schmied D
3 D. Heintz D
25 J. Gazibegović M
6 E. Martel M
11 F. Kainz M
35 M. Finkgräfe M
7 D. Ljubičić F
37 L. Maina F
42 D. Downs F
Bench (9)
27 I. Rondić
8 D. Huseinbašić
9 L. Waldschmidt
16 M. Obuz
49 N. Telle
21 S. Tigges
29 J. Thielmann
47 M. Olesen
26 A. Racioppi

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,02
U
3,56
B
2,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.