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LaLiga2

Almeria

S S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Malaga

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 53%

65%

41%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

47%

Both score Ø 41%

35%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 13

7 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Malaga 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	18	12	5	1	+20	41
2	Espanol	18	12	3	3	+20	39
3	Almeria	17	11	2	4	+10	35
4	Leganes	18	10	2	6	+5	32
5	Sp Gijon	17	8	4	5	+4	28
6	Mirandes	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Vallecano	17	8	3	6	+4	27
8	Girona	17	8	3	6	+1	27
9	Ponferradina	18	8	3	7	-2	27
10	Lugo	18	7	5	6	+1	26
11	Oviedo	18	6	7	5	+4	25
12	Malaga	17	7	4	6	-5	25
13	Fuenlabrada	18	5	8	5	-1	23
14	Logrones	18	7	2	9	-7	23
15	Las Palmas	17	5	7	5	-3	22
16	Cartagena	17	5	4	8	-3	19
17	Castellon	18	5	3	10	-7	18
18	Tenerife	18	4	5	9	-7	17
19	Alcorcon	17	4	4	9	-6	16
20	Sabadell	17	4	2	11	-8	14
21	Zaragoza	17	2	5	10	-9	11
22	Albacete	18	2	5	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	10	8	0	2	+8	24
2	Espanol	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	Mallorca	9	6	2	1	+13	20
4	Vallecano	8	6	1	1	+9	19
5	Sp Gijon	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Lugo	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Las Palmas	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Almeria	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Mirandes	9	3	5	1	+4	14
10	Ponferradina	9	4	2	3	+0	14
11	Oviedo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
12	Girona	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Logrones	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	Castellon	9	4	0	5	+1	12
15	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Fuenlabrada	9	2	5	2	+0	11
17	Cartagena	8	3	1	4	+1	10
18	Zaragoza	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Alcorcon	9	3	1	5	-4	10
20	Albacete	9	2	3	4	-3	9
21	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-3	9
22	Sabadell	9	2	1	6	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	+5	21
3	Espanol	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Malaga	9	5	1	3	-2	16
5	Girona	9	4	2	3	-1	14
6	Mirandes	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	Ponferradina	9	4	1	4	-2	13
8	Oviedo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Fuenlabrada	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-3	10
11	Logrones	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Lugo	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Cartagena	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Leganes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Vallecano	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Sabadell	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Alcorcon	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Las Palmas	9	0	6	3	-6	6
19	Castellon	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Tenerife	9	1	2	6	-8	5
21	Albacete	9	0	2	7	-13	2
22	Zaragoza	8	0	1	7	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.