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LaLiga2

Referee: Sergiu Muresan

Cartagena

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Malaga

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 19%

15%

23%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 48%

46%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Malaga 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	27	14	6	7	+14	48
2	Santander	26	14	6	6	+12	48
3	Huesca	26	13	7	6	+16	46
4	Elche	26	13	7	6	+15	46
5	Almeria	26	12	8	6	+11	44
6	Oviedo	26	12	8	6	+6	44
7	Levante	26	11	10	5	+12	43
8	Granada	26	11	8	7	+11	41
9	Sp Gijon	26	9	9	8	+4	36
10	La Coruna	26	9	8	9	+5	35
11	Castellon	27	10	5	12	+0	35
12	Zaragoza	26	9	7	10	+4	34
13	Cadiz	26	8	10	8	+2	34
14	Albacete	26	8	10	8	-3	34
15	Eibar	27	9	6	12	-5	33
16	Cordoba	26	9	6	11	-8	33
17	Malaga	26	6	14	6	-1	32
18	Burgos	25	8	6	11	-9	30
19	Eldense	26	6	7	13	-15	25
20	Ferrol	26	4	10	12	-24	22
21	Tenerife	26	4	7	15	-17	19
22	Cartagena	26	4	3	19	-30	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	14	10	3	1	+15	33
2	Elche	14	10	2	2	+16	32
3	Oviedo	13	8	2	3	+7	26
4	Huesca	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Sp Gijon	14	7	3	4	+5	24
6	Eibar	13	7	3	3	+3	24
7	Granada	14	6	5	3	+10	23
8	Levante	12	6	5	1	+10	23
9	Almeria	12	6	5	1	+8	23
10	Santander	13	6	4	3	+10	22
11	Cordoba	13	6	4	3	+6	22
12	Malaga	13	5	6	2	+3	21
13	Albacete	13	5	6	2	+2	21
14	Burgos	13	6	3	4	+1	21
15	Cadiz	14	5	5	4	+2	20
16	Castellon	14	5	2	7	+0	17
17	Tenerife	13	4	4	5	+0	16
18	La Coruna	13	4	4	5	-1	16
19	Zaragoza	12	4	3	5	+1	15
20	Eldense	13	4	3	6	-6	15
21	Ferrol	13	1	6	6	-13	9
22	Cartagena	12	2	2	8	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	13	8	2	3	+2	26
2	Huesca	14	6	3	5	+4	21
3	Almeria	14	6	3	5	+3	21
4	Levante	14	5	5	4	+2	20
5	La Coruna	13	5	4	4	+6	19
6	Zaragoza	14	5	4	5	+3	19
7	Granada	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Castellon	13	5	3	5	+0	18
9	Oviedo	13	4	6	3	-1	18
10	Mirandes	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Cadiz	12	3	5	4	+0	14
12	Elche	12	3	5	4	-1	14
13	Albacete	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Ferrol	13	3	4	6	-11	13
15	Sp Gijon	12	2	6	4	-1	12
16	Malaga	13	1	8	4	-4	11
17	Cordoba	13	3	2	8	-14	11
18	Eldense	13	2	4	7	-9	10
19	Eibar	14	2	3	9	-8	9
20	Burgos	12	2	3	7	-10	9
21	Cartagena	14	2	1	11	-21	7
22	Tenerife	13	0	3	10	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.