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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Malaga
S U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Almeria
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
35%
76%
Both score Ø 56%
35%
76%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 14. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 18 11 4 3 +9 37
2 Mirandes 18 10 4 4 +7 34
3 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
4 Sp Gijon 17 8 5 4 +9 29
5 Elche 18 8 5 5 +8 29
6 Granada 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Levante 17 8 5 4 +7 29
8 Oviedo 18 8 5 5 +2 29
9 Huesca 18 7 5 6 +7 26
10 Zaragoza 18 7 5 6 +6 26
11 Castellon 17 7 4 6 +4 25
12 Eibar 18 7 3 8 -2 24
13 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Malaga 17 4 10 3 -3 22
15 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
16 Eldense 17 5 4 8 -4 19
17 Cadiz 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Burgos 17 5 3 9 -9 18
19 Cordoba 17 4 5 8 -10 17
20 Ferrol 18 2 9 7 -12 15
21 Tenerife 16 2 5 9 -10 11
22 Cartagena 17 3 1 13 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Almeria
0–1 Fernando Martínez
own goal
12′
15′
🔁 Gonzalo Melero
↦ Gui
20′
🟨 Marc Pubill
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Bruno Langa
Manu Molina 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Dion Lopy
56′
🟨 Chumi
60′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ Nico Melamed
61′
🔁 Álex Centelles
↦ Bruno Langa
63′
🟨 Luis Javier Suárez
Antonio Cordero 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
64′
70′
🔁 Álex Pozo
↦ Arnau Puigmal
Luismi 🟨
72′
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
77′
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Dioni
77′
Izan Merino 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
88′
Einar Galilea 🔁
↦ Manu Molina
89′
96′
Álex Pastor 1–1
own goal
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
10 David Larrubia M
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
11 Kevin Medina M
17 Dioni F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
26 Antonio Cordero
35 A. Moloney
25 Sergio Castel
29 Izan Merino
4 Einar Galilea
18 Dani Sánchez
9 R. Baturina
21 Y. Rahmani
6 Ramón Enríquez
2 Gabilondo
22 Dani Lorenzo
13 Carlos López

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
24 Bruno Langa D
27 Gui M
6 D. Lopy M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
11 Sergio Arribas M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
8 Gonzalo Melero
12 Léo Baptistão
20 Álex Centelles
17 Álex Pozo
4 Kaiky
36 M. Perović
28 R. Fettal
34 Rubén Quintanilla
1 Luís Maximiano
19 M. Milovanović
16 A. Radovanović

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U ✓
3,26
B
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.