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Svenska Cupen
Referee: E Mattsson
Elfsborg
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Brommapojkarna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 5. · Brommapojkarna 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trelleborg 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Mjallby 3 3 0 0 +13 9
3 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +9 9
4 Vasteras SK 3 3 0 0 +8 9
5 Elfsborg 3 3 0 0 +8 9
6 Halmstad 3 3 0 0 +8 9
7 GAIS 3 3 0 0 +7 9
8 Hacken 3 3 0 0 +7 9
9 Goteborg 3 3 0 0 +7 9
10 Norrkoping 3 3 0 0 +5 9
11 Stockholm Internazionale 4 3 0 1 +4 9
12 AIK 4 2 2 0 +8 8
13 Hammarby 3 2 1 0 +8 7
14 Brommapojkarna 3 2 1 0 +8 7
15 Djurgarden 3 2 1 0 +7 7
16 Degerfors 4 2 1 1 +3 7
17 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 Oster 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Sirius 3 2 0 1 +0 6
20 Varberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
21 Oddevold 3 1 1 1 +0 4
22 IK brage 3 1 1 1 +0 4
23 Karlberg 4 1 1 2 -2 4
24 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
25 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
27 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
28 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 -1 3
39 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
40 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Helsingborg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
46 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Varnamo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
50 Orebro SK 3 1 0 2 -3 3
51 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Sandviken 3 1 0 2 -4 3
53 Orgryte 3 1 0 2 -4 3
54 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Landskrona 3 1 0 2 -4 3
56 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
60 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -5 3
61 Gefle IF 3 1 0 2 -8 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.