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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Buqa

Orgryte

S T S T T

3–1

Full-time

IK brage

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte IK brage

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Orgryte 53. · IK brage 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trelleborg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+13	9
3	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Vasteras SK	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Elfsborg	3	3	0	0	+8	9
6	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+8	9
7	GAIS	3	3	0	0	+7	9
8	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+7	9
9	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
10	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+5	9
11	Stockholm Internazionale	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	AIK	4	2	2	0	+8	8
13	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+8	7
14	Brommapojkarna	3	2	1	0	+8	7
15	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+7	7
16	Degerfors	4	2	1	1	+3	7
17	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
18	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+0	6
20	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Oddevold	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	IK brage	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Karlberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
24	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
39	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
46	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
50	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
51	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
52	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
53	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
54	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
55	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
56	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
60	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
61	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-8	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Stockholm Internazionale	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
22	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
25	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
26	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
27	Oddevold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Trelleborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skövde AIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	IK brage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
46	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trelleborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
11	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
46	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
47	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
48	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
49	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
50	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
51	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.