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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Almeria
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Oviedo
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 3. · Oviedo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 24 13 6 5 +12 45
2 Mirandes 25 13 5 7 +11 44
3 Almeria 24 12 7 5 +13 43
4 Elche 25 12 7 6 +13 43
5 Levante 24 11 9 4 +13 42
6 Oviedo 24 12 6 6 +6 42
7 Huesca 24 11 7 6 +14 40
8 Granada 25 11 7 7 +11 40
9 Sp Gijon 25 9 8 8 +4 35
10 Zaragoza 24 9 6 9 +5 33
11 Eibar 24 9 5 10 -2 32
12 Malaga 24 6 13 5 +0 31
13 Albacete 24 7 10 7 -2 31
14 Cadiz 24 7 9 8 -1 30
15 Cordoba 24 8 6 10 -8 30
16 La Coruna 24 7 8 9 +2 29
17 Castellon 24 8 5 11 -3 29
18 Burgos 24 7 6 11 -10 27
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 24 3 7 14 -17 16
22 Cartagena 24 4 3 17 -26 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Oviedo
Chumi 🟨
26′
Dion Lopy 🟨
37′
40′
Alemão 0–1
S. Colombatto
44′
🟨 Ilyas Chaira
Half-time 0–1
Lázaro 🔁
↦ Chumi
46′
Kaiky 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
46′
53′
🟨 Francisco Portillo
63′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ Portillo
M. Milovanović 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
66′
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Sergio Arribas
66′
Marko Milovanović 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 Paulino de la Fuente
↦ I. Chaira
1–1 L. Suárez
75′
77′
🟨 Kwasi Sibo
79′
🔁 Lucas Ahijado
↦ Nacho Vidal
79′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ K. Sibo
Rubén Quintanilla 🔁
↦ L. Robertone
83′
87′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
90′
🟨 Dani Calvo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
17 Álex Pozo D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
24 Bruno Langa D
5 L. Robertone M
6 D. Lopy M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
11 Sergio Arribas M
12 Léo Baptistão M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (9)
7 Lázaro
4 Kaiky
19 M. Milovanović
10 Nico Melamed
34 Rubén Quintanilla
16 A. Radovanović
36 M. Perović
13 Fernando Martínez
20 Álex Centelles

Coach: Rubi

Oviedo

4-1-4-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
17 César de la Hoz M
10 Portillo M
6 K. Sibo M
11 S. Colombatto M
16 I. Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (10)
7 Sebas Moyano
18 Paulino de la Fuente
24 Lucas Ahijado
14 D. Paraschiv
34 Diego Tejón
15 Oier Luengo
27 Álex Cardero
1 Q. Braat
3 R. Alhassane
31 C. Eze

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
3,44
B
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.