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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Malaga
T T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Tenerife
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
26%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 0
0 Offside 7
18 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 14. · Tenerife 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 27 14 6 7 +11 48
3 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
4 Elche 27 13 8 6 +15 47
5 Oviedo 27 13 8 6 +7 47
6 Almeria 27 12 9 6 +11 45
7 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Granada 27 11 9 7 +11 42
9 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
10 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
11 Cordoba 27 10 6 11 -7 36
12 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
13 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
14 Malaga 27 7 14 6 +0 35
15 Zaragoza 27 9 7 11 +3 34
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
18 Burgos 26 9 6 11 -8 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 26 4 10 12 -24 22
21 Tenerife 27 4 7 16 -18 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Tenerife
5′
🟨 Juande Rivas
37′
🟨 Jeremy Mellot
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Dani Sánchez
Ramón Enríquez
53′
60′
🔁 Fernando Medrano
↦ Juande Rivas
Julen Lobete 🟨
64′
Manu Molina 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
66′
Luismi 🔁
↦ Ramón Enríquez
66′
68′
🔁 Ángel Rodríguez
↦ Enric Gallego
68′
🔁 Maikel Mesa
↦ Y. Bodiger
76′
🟨 David Rodríguez Ramos
Roko Baturina
penalty missed
77′
Dioni 🔁
↦ R. Baturina
80′
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
80′
80′
🔁 Teto
↦ Waldo Rubio
80′
🔁 M. Moreno
↦ Y. Diarra
Antonio Cordero 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
85′
Luismi 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
10 David Larrubia M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
29 Izan Merino M
11 Kevin Medina M
24 Julen Lobete F
9 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
12 Manu Molina
19 Luismi
17 Dioni
35 A. Moloney
26 Antonio Cordero
2 Gabilondo
21 Y. Rahmani
27 Chupe
13 Carlos López
5 Álex Pastor
16 Diego Murillo
14 Víctor García

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Tenerife

5-4-1
25 Edgar Badia G
17 Waldo Rubio D
22 J. Mellot D
23 Juande Rivas D
4 José León D
2 David Rodríguez D
11 Luismi Cruz M
33 Aarón M
15 Y. Bodiger M
8 Y. Diarra M
18 Enric Gallego F
Bench (9)
3 Fernando Medrano
9 Ángel Rodríguez
20 Maikel Mesa
21 Teto
10 M. Moreno
12 A. Landázuri
29 César Álvarez
1 Salvi Carrasco
19 Alejandro Cantero

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
2,93
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,66
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.