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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
La Coruna
U S T U S
3–1
Full-time
Almeria
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
40%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 14. · Almeria 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 26 14 6 6 +12 48
2 Huesca 26 13 7 6 +16 46
3 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
4 Mirandes 26 13 6 7 +11 45
5 Almeria 25 12 8 5 +13 44
6 Levante 26 11 10 5 +12 43
7 Oviedo 25 12 7 6 +6 43
8 Granada 26 11 8 7 +11 41
9 Sp Gijon 26 9 9 8 +4 36
10 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
11 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
12 Eibar 26 9 6 11 -3 33
13 Cordoba 26 9 6 11 -8 33
14 La Coruna 25 8 8 9 +3 32
15 Malaga 26 6 14 6 -1 32
16 Castellon 26 9 5 12 -2 32
17 Cadiz 25 7 10 8 -1 31
18 Burgos 25 8 6 11 -9 30
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 25 4 10 11 -21 22
21 Tenerife 26 4 7 15 -17 19
22 Cartagena 25 4 3 18 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,33
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.