Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Leeds
West Brom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Leeds
|
34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | +50 | +42.5 | 75 |
| 2 |
Burnley
|
34 | 18 | 14 | 2 | +34 | +9.8 | 68 |
| 3 |
Sheffield United
|
32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | +20 | +12.3 | 66 |
| 4 |
Sunderland
|
33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | +21 | +10.7 | 64 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | +13 | +8.9 | 51 |
| 6 |
Blackburn
|
34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | +5 | -0.7 | 51 |
| 7 |
Bristol City
|
33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | +6 | +5.4 | 49 |
| 8 |
Coventry
|
33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | +4 | +17.3 | 49 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | -3 | -8.6 | 48 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +8 | +9.4 | 47 |
| 11 |
Middlesbrough
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +8 | +12.7 | 47 |
| 12 |
Millwall
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | +0 | +5.1 | 45 |
| 13 |
Sheffield Weds
|
35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -9 | -2.8 | 45 |
| 14 |
QPR
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 | -5.8 | 44 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | -5 | -1.0 | 42 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -9 | -1.1 | 40 |
| 17 |
Portsmouth
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -13 | -10.4 | 39 |
| 18 |
Oxford
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -15 | -17.9 | 38 |
| 19 |
Cardiff
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -18 | -13.7 | 36 |
| 20 |
Stoke
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -13 | -19.2 | 35 |
| 21 |
Hull
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -11 | -6.6 | 33 |
| 22 |
Plymouth
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -32 | -31.0 | 30 |
| 23 |
Derby
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -14 | -8.0 | 29 |
| 24 |
Luton
|
34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -24 | -7.5 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Meslier
G
J. Bogle
D
J. Rodon
D
P. Struijk
D
J. Firpo
D
A. Tanaka
M
J. Rothwell
M
D. James
M
B. Aaronson
M
M. Solomon
M
J. Piroe
F
Coach: D. Farke
D. Furlong
D
T. Heggem
D
C. Styles
D
J. Molumby
M
A. Mowatt
M
I. Price
M
J. Swift
M
M. Johnston
M
A. Armstrong
F
Coach: T. Mowbray
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Leeds
Leeds
Sunderland
Watford
Leeds
Leeds
Millwall
Coventry
Leeds
F Hallam · 40 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.