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Championship
Referee: F Hallam
Leeds
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
West Brom
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 50%
65%
35%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
32%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,29 xG 0,77
53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 1. · West Brom 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 34 22 9 3 +50 +42.5 75
2 Burnley 34 18 14 2 +34 +9.8 68
3 Sheffield United 32 20 6 6 +20 +12.3 66
4 Sunderland 33 18 10 5 +21 +10.7 64
5 West Brom 34 12 15 7 +13 +8.9 51
6 Blackburn 34 15 6 13 +5 -0.7 51
7 Bristol City 33 12 13 8 +6 +5.4 49
8 Coventry 33 14 7 12 +4 +17.3 49
9 Watford 34 14 6 14 -3 -8.6 48
10 Norwich 34 12 11 11 +8 +9.4 47
11 Middlesbrough 34 13 8 13 +8 +12.7 47
12 Millwall 34 11 12 11 +0 +5.1 45
13 Sheffield Weds 35 12 9 14 -9 -2.8 45
14 QPR 34 11 11 12 -3 -5.8 44
15 Preston 34 9 15 10 -5 -1.0 42
16 Swansea 34 11 7 16 -9 -1.1 40
17 Portsmouth 34 10 9 15 -13 -10.4 39
18 Oxford 34 9 11 14 -15 -17.9 38
19 Cardiff 34 8 12 14 -18 -13.7 36
20 Stoke 34 8 11 15 -13 -19.2 35
21 Hull 34 8 9 17 -11 -6.6 33
22 Plymouth 34 6 12 16 -32 -31.0 30
23 Derby 34 7 8 19 -14 -8.0 29
24 Luton 34 7 7 20 -24 -7.5 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds West Brom
1–0 J. Firpo
D. James
9′
39′
D. Furlong 1–1
J. Swift
Half-time 1–1
69′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ J. Swift
69′
🔁 K. Ahearne-Grant
↦ A. Armstrong
Mateo Joseph 🔁
↦ B. Aaronson
72′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ M. Solomon
79′
83′
🔁 T. Fellows
↦ I. Price
83′
🔁 D. Dike
↦ M. Johnston
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 J. Bogle D
6 J. Rodon D
5 P. Struijk D
3 J. Firpo D
22 A. Tanaka M
8 J. Rothwell M
7 D. James M
11 B. Aaronson M
14 M. Solomon M
10 J. Piroe F
Bench (9)
19 Mateo Joseph
29 W. Gnonto
33 I. Schmidt
26 K. Darlow
44 I. Gruev
23 J. Guilavogui
17 L. Ramazani
37 J. Debayo
25 S. Byram

Coach: D. Farke

West Brom

4-2-3-1
23 J. Wildsmith G
2 D. Furlong D
5 K. Bartley D
14 T. Heggem D
4 C. Styles D
8 J. Molumby M
27 A. Mowatt M
21 I. Price M
10 J. Swift M
22 M. Johnston M
32 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
11 G. Diangana
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
31 T. Fellows
12 D. Dike
17 O. Diakité
19 W. Lankshear
20 J. Griffiths
3 M. Holgate
26 T. Bany

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
U ✓
4,92
B
9,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Hallam · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.