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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Winterthur

T T T S T

4–0

Full-time

St. Gallen

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

16%

36%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

68%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,97 xG 1,09

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · St. Gallen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	25	12	6	7	+25	+16.6	42
2	Lugano	25	12	6	7	+8	+6.2	42
3	Luzern	25	12	6	7	+6	+4.6	42
4	Servette	25	11	9	5	+6	+1.9	42
5	Lausanne	25	10	7	8	+10	+10.8	37
6	Young Boys	25	10	7	8	+6	+7.9	37
7	St. Gallen	25	9	9	7	+6	-4.8	36
8	Zurich	25	10	6	9	-2	-5.1	36
9	Sion	25	8	6	11	-5	+2.9	30
10	Yverdon	25	6	6	13	-18	-15.2	24
11	Grasshoppers	25	4	11	10	-10	-6.8	23
12	Winterthur	25	4	5	16	-32	-18.9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	8	3	2	+14	+5.7	27
2	Lugano	13	8	3	2	+10	+8.6	27
3	Lausanne	13	8	2	3	+13	+10.5	26
4	Luzern	13	8	2	3	+8	+9.2	26
5	Servette	13	7	5	1	+7	+5.6	26
6	Basel	12	7	2	3	+11	+14.8	23
7	St. Gallen	12	5	6	1	+9	+2.7	21
8	Sion	12	5	5	2	+8	+12.3	20
9	Zurich	13	5	4	4	+1	-2.1	19
10	Yverdon	12	5	2	5	-2	-2.3	17
11	Winterthur	12	4	1	7	-11	-5.0	13
12	Grasshoppers	12	1	7	4	-4	+4.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	13	5	4	4	+14	+1.9	19
2	Zurich	12	5	2	5	-3	-3.0	17
3	Servette	12	4	4	4	-1	-3.8	16
4	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-2	-4.6	16
5	Lugano	12	4	3	5	-2	-2.4	15
6	St. Gallen	13	4	3	6	-3	-7.5	15
7	Grasshoppers	13	3	4	6	-6	-11.6	13
8	Lausanne	12	2	5	5	-3	+0.2	11
9	Young Boys	12	2	4	6	-8	+2.2	10
10	Sion	13	3	1	9	-13	-9.4	10
11	Yverdon	13	1	4	8	-16	-13.0	7
12	Winterthur	13	0	4	9	-21	-13.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.