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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Burgos
U S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Santander
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,0
4,2
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
56%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
21%
56%
Both score Ø 39%
29%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 14
6 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 18. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 25 14 6 5 +13 48
2 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
3 Mirandes 26 13 6 7 +11 45
4 Almeria 25 12 8 5 +13 44
5 Huesca 25 12 7 6 +15 43
6 Levante 26 11 10 5 +12 43
7 Oviedo 25 12 7 6 +6 43
8 Granada 26 11 8 7 +11 41
9 Sp Gijon 26 9 9 8 +4 36
10 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
11 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
12 Eibar 26 9 6 11 -3 33
13 Cordoba 25 9 6 10 -7 33
14 La Coruna 25 8 8 9 +3 32
15 Malaga 26 6 14 6 -1 32
16 Castellon 26 9 5 12 -2 32
17 Cadiz 25 7 10 8 -1 31
18 Burgos 24 7 6 11 -10 27
19 Eldense 25 6 6 13 -15 24
20 Ferrol 25 4 10 11 -21 22
21 Tenerife 26 4 7 15 -17 19
22 Cartagena 25 4 3 18 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,15
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.