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LaLiga2
Referee: José Sánchez
Zaragoza
T U S U T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
35%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
62%
24%
Both score Ø 47%
62%
32%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
6 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 15. · Burgos 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 27 14 6 7 +11 48
3 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
4 Elche 26 13 7 6 +15 46
5 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
6 Almeria 26 12 8 6 +11 44
7 Oviedo 26 12 8 6 +6 44
8 Granada 27 11 9 7 +11 42
9 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
10 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
11 Cordoba 27 10 6 11 -7 36
12 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
13 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
14 Malaga 27 7 14 6 +0 35
15 Zaragoza 26 9 7 10 +4 34
16 Albacete 26 8 10 8 -3 34
17 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
18 Burgos 25 8 6 11 -9 30
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 26 4 10 12 -24 22
21 Tenerife 27 4 7 16 -18 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Burgos
Francho Serrano 🟨
17′
41′
🟨 Álex Sancris
Half-time 0–0
Kervin Arriaga 🟨
51′
Dani Gómez 🟥
55′
S. Baždar 🔁
↦ Alberto Marí
59′
Adrian Liso 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
59′
K. Bare 🔁
↦ Adu Ares
59′
59′
🔁 Elady
↦ Rubén Quintanilla
59′
🔁 Marcelo Expósito
↦ Dani Ojeda
61′
🟨 Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez
68′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
68′
🔁 Iñigo Córdoba
↦ F. Miguel
82′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Curro Sánchez
84′
Iñigo Córdoba 0–1
Borja Sánchez
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ Francho Serrano
86′
Pau Sans 🟨
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
25 Joan Femenías G
19 Iván Calero D
15 Bernardo Vital D
24 Lluís López D
4 Dani Tasende D
23 Ager Aketxe M
16 K. Arriaga M
14 Francho Serrano M
20 Adu Ares M
9 Dani Gómez F
22 Alberto Marí F
Bench (12)
11 S. Baždar
33 Adrian Liso
6 K. Bare
29 Pau Sans
38 Jaime Vallejo
7 Mario Soberón
13 G. Poussin
37 Marcos Cuenca
35 Guillermo Acín
5 Enrique Clemente
3 Jair Amador
34 Lucas Terrer

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
46 Rubén Quintanilla M
7 Dani Ojeda M
16 Curro Sánchez F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
22 Elady
33 Marcelo Expósito
21 Iñigo Córdoba
10 Borja Sánchez
15 G. Barès
17 F. Mimbacas
20 Pipa
14 David González
24 N. Miličić
28 Mario Cantero
1 Tomeu Nadal
23 Iván Morante

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
2,97
B ✓
4,00
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.