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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Burgos
S U U S U
0–1
Full-time
La Coruna
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
0,8
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
23%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
32%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 16. · La Coruna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 22 12 6 4 +14 42
2 Elche 23 11 7 5 +14 40
3 Levante 23 10 9 4 +12 39
4 Oviedo 23 11 6 6 +5 39
5 Santander 22 11 6 5 +5 39
6 Mirandes 22 11 5 6 +9 38
7 Huesca 22 10 6 6 +10 36
8 Granada 23 9 7 7 +6 34
9 Sp Gijon 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Eibar 23 9 5 9 +0 32
11 Malaga 22 6 13 3 +2 31
12 Zaragoza 22 8 5 9 +4 29
13 Castellon 22 8 5 9 -1 29
14 Albacete 23 6 10 7 -3 28
15 Cadiz 23 6 9 8 -3 27
16 Burgos 22 7 6 9 -7 27
17 Cordoba 22 7 6 9 -8 27
18 La Coruna 21 6 7 8 +2 25
19 Eldense 23 5 6 12 -13 21
20 Ferrol 22 3 10 9 -14 19
21 Cartagena 23 4 3 16 -22 15
22 Tenerife 21 3 5 13 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -24 La Coruna – Burgos 0–2

Match report

Burgos La Coruna
13′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Omenuke Mfulu
Álex Sancris 🔁
↦ Mario Cantero
56′
63′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ Barbero
64′
🔁 Diego Villares
↦ O. Mfulu
Iván Morante 🟨
65′
69′
Mario Soriano 0–1
Ximo Navarro
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
71′
Curro 🟨
72′
Aitor Córdoba Querejeta 🟨
79′
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
80′
Pipa 🔁
↦ A. Arroyo
80′
85′
🔁 Jaime Sánchez
↦ Mario Soriano
92′
🔁 J. Gauto
↦ David Mella
92′
🔁 Álex Petxa
↦ Yeremay Hernández
Florian Miguel 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
27 David López D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
28 Mario Cantero M
16 Curro Sánchez M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (11)
11 Álex Sancris
9 Fer Niño
7 Dani Ojeda
20 Pipa
10 Borja Sánchez
39 G. Nsukula
1 Tomeu Nadal
41 Hugo Sedano
40 Diego González
32 Hugo Pascual
14 David González

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
4 P. Martínez D
33 Rafael Obrador D
12 O. Mfulu M
20 José Ángel M
17 David Mella M
21 Mario Soriano M
10 Yeremay Hernández M
9 Barbero F
Bench (12)
7 Lucas Pérez
8 Diego Villares
19 Jaime Sánchez
16 J. Gauto
6 Álex Petxa
22 Hugo Rama
1 Germán Parreño
24 M. Bouldini
13 Eric Puerto
14 Cristian Herrera
5 Dani Barcia
32 Kevin Sánchez

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U
3,03
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.