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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Burgos
U S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Zaragoza 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Santander 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Eibar 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Zaragoza 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Mirandes 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Malaga 5 2 3 0 +2 9
8 Burgos 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Oviedo 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Albacete 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
13 Almeria 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Cordoba 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Cadiz 4 1 2 1 -2 5
16 Castellon 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Granada 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 Elche 4 1 0 3 -3 3
20 Cartagena 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Ferrol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
22 Tenerife 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Zaragoza
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Toni Moya
Curro
penalty missed
47′
53′
🔁 Sergio Bermejo
↦ Adu Ares
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
62′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
63′
63′
🔁 Francho Serrano
↦ Toni Moya
63′
🔁 Iván Azón
↦ Alberto Marí
Ian Forns 🔁
↦ F. Miguel
76′
80′
🔁 S. Baždar
↦ Mario Soberón
80′
🔁 S. Kóša
↦ Marc Aguado
Fernando Niño 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Sebastian Kóša
Ian Forns 🟨
86′
Miguel Atienza 🟨
87′
Borja Sánchez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
89′
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
89′
90′
🟨 Samed Baždar
1–0 Álex Sancris
Dani Ojeda
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
27 David López D
3 F. Miguel D
11 Álex Sancris M
5 Miguel Atienza M
23 Iván Morante M
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
16 Curro Sánchez F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
9 Fer Niño
12 K. Appin
38 Ian Forns
10 Borja Sánchez
7 Dani Ojeda
2 L. López
20 Pipa
1 L. Badiashile
22 T. Rodríguez
14 David González
32 Hugo Pascual
6 Raúl Navarro

Coach: Bolo

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 G. Poussin G
19 Iván Calero D
24 Lluís López D
15 Bernardo Vital D
4 Dani Tasende D
33 Adrian Liso M
21 Toni Moya M
8 Marc Aguado M
20 Adu Ares M
7 Mario Soberón F
22 Alberto Marí F
Bench (12)
10 Sergio Bermejo
14 Francho Serrano
9 Iván Azón
11 S. Baždar
12 S. Kóša
35 Guillermo Acín
17 Carlos Nieto
5 Enrique Clemente
40 Carlos Calavia
29 Pau Sans
2 Marcos Luna
26 Gori

Coach: Victor Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
3,09
B
3,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.