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Super League

Referee: L Tschudi

Luzern

S S U S S

2–2

Full-time

Lausanne

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,71 xG 1,75

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 1. · Lausanne 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.1	17
2	Zurich	8	5	2	1	+6	+0.4	17
3	Lugano	8	5	2	1	+5	+0.9	17
4	Servette	8	5	1	2	-2	-2.9	16
5	St. Gallen	8	4	1	3	+6	-0.1	13
6	Sion	8	3	2	3	+3	+3.2	11
7	Basel	8	3	1	4	+6	+2.3	10
8	Grasshoppers	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.6	8
9	Yverdon	8	2	2	4	-5	-3.2	8
10	Lausanne	8	2	1	5	-6	+3.2	7
11	Young Boys	8	1	3	4	-5	-2.7	6
12	Winterthur	8	1	1	6	-11	-5.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+5	-0.9	10
2	Lugano	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.6	10
3	St. Gallen	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.0	9
4	Luzern	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.0	9
5	Servette	4	3	0	1	-2	-2.0	9
6	Sion	4	2	2	0	+6	+4.7	8
7	Yverdon	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
8	Lausanne	4	2	0	2	+1	+3.2	6
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	2	1	-1	+3.2	5
10	Winterthur	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
11	Basel	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.3	3
12	Young Boys	4	0	2	2	-2	-4.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.9	8
2	Basel	5	2	1	2	+7	-0.0	7
3	Lugano	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.8	7
4	Zurich	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
5	Servette	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.9	7
6	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
7	Young Boys	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.6	4
8	Grasshoppers	4	1	0	3	-2	-0.7	3
9	Sion	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.5	3
10	Yverdon	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.3	1
11	Lausanne	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.0	1
12	Winterthur	4	0	0	4	-8	-4.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.