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LaLiga2

Referee: Miguel González

Almeria

S U S U T

2–5

Full-time

Castellon

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 14. · Castellon 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Santander	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Eibar	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Zaragoza	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Burgos	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Mirandes	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Huesca	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Malaga	5	2	3	0	+2	9
9	Eldense	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Oviedo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Cadiz	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Albacete	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Almeria	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Cordoba	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Castellon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Elche	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	La Coruna	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Ferrol	5	0	3	2	-2	3
21	Cartagena	5	1	0	4	-4	3
22	Tenerife	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Malaga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Burgos	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Eldense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Cordoba	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Santander	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Levante	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Elche	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Albacete	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Ferrol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Cadiz	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Castellon	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Granada	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Cartagena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	4	2	1	1	+4	7
2	Levante	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Santander	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Granada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Cartagena	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Mirandes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eldense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Cordoba	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Elche	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.