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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Almeria
U S U T T
2–2
Full-time
Eibar
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Almeria 18. · Eibar 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 6 4 2 0 +5 14
2 Zaragoza 6 4 1 1 +8 13
3 Burgos 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Levante 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Eibar 5 3 2 0 +3 11
6 Malaga 6 2 4 0 +2 10
7 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Mirandes 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Albacete 6 3 0 3 +1 9
10 Cadiz 6 2 3 1 -1 9
11 Eldense 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Castellon 6 2 1 3 +1 7
14 Elche 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sp Gijon 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 Granada 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Cordoba 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Almeria 5 1 2 2 -3 5
19 La Coruna 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
21 Ferrol 6 0 3 3 -5 3
22 Tenerife 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Eibar
-5′
🟨 José Corpas
21′
🔁 Ander Madariaga
↦ Jon Guruzeta
25′
Edgar González 1–0
own goal
37′
🟨 Anaitz Arbilla
Half-time 1–1
55′
Xeber Alkain 1–1
Antonio Puertas
2–1 Nico Melamed
L. Suárez
57′
Sergio Arribas 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
59′
L. Robertone 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
59′
Álex Pozo 🔁
↦ Marc Pubill
66′
Bruno Langa 🔁
↦ Álex Centelles
66′
66′
🔁 Martín Merquelanz
↦ Antonio Puertas
66′
🔁 Jorge Pascual
↦ Jon Bautista
66′
🔁 Álvaro Carrillo
↦ Aritz Arambarri
Edgar González 🟨
69′
70′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
Nicolás Melamed 🟨
75′
R. Fettal 🔁
↦ Edgar González
77′
3–1 R. Fettal
Sergio Arribas
80′
81′
🔁 K. Hashimoto
↦ José Corpas
Dion Lopy 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Sergio Álvarez
95′
🟥 Sergio Álvarez
Chumi 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
16 A. Radovanović D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
3 Edgar González M
12 Léo Baptistão M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
11 Sergio Arribas
5 L. Robertone
17 Álex Pozo
24 Bruno Langa
28 R. Fettal
4 Kaiky
27 Gui
19 M. Milovanović
15 I. Baba
13 Fernando Martínez
2 Arnau Puigmal

Coach: Rubi

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Fuzato G
17 José Corpas D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
14 Hodei Arrillaga D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
10 Matheus Pereira M
7 Xeber Alkain M
21 Jon Guruzeta M
20 Antonio Puertas M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
29 Ander Madariaga
18 Martín Merquelanz
11 Jorge Pascual
4 Álvaro Carrillo
15 K. Hashimoto
2 Sergio Cubero
27 Slavy
26 Ibon Ispizua
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
19 Toni Villa
5 Chema Rodríguez

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,93
U ✓
3,42
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.