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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Pisa
S S S T T
3–1
Full-time
Cesena
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 1. · Cesena 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 7 4 2 1 +3 14
2 Juve Stabia 8 4 2 2 +1 14
3 Spezia 7 3 4 0 +4 13
4 Brescia 7 4 0 3 +3 12
5 Sassuolo 7 3 3 1 +1 12
6 Cesena 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Palermo 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Cremonese 7 3 1 3 +2 10
9 Mantova 7 3 1 3 -2 10
10 Bari 7 2 3 2 +2 9
11 Reggiana 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Cosenza 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Sudtirol 7 3 0 4 -2 9
14 Modena 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Sampdoria 8 2 2 4 -1 8
16 Salernitana 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Cittadella 7 2 2 3 -1 8
18 Catanzaro 7 1 4 2 -1 7
19 Frosinone 7 1 3 3 -7 6
20 Carrarese 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Sep -24 Pisa – Cesena 0–1

Match report

Pisa Cesena
12′
🟨 Raffaele Celia
1–0 A. Lind
A. Arena
23′
2–0 S. Canestrelli
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Donnarumma
↦ R. Celia
Marius Marin 🟨
50′
2–1 D. Donnarumma
own goal
55′
58′
🔁 T. Berti
↦ G. Calò
59′
🔁 E. Tavşan
↦ A. Kargbo
M. Højholt 🔁
↦ M. Marin
60′
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ A. Lind
60′
67′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ C. Shpendi
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ A. Caracciolo
73′
76′
G. Prestia 2–2
77′
🔁 S. Hraiech
↦ J. Ceesay
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
82′
S. Angori 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
82′
Oliver Abildgaard 🟨
87′
Nicholas Bonfanti 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
20 P. Beruatto M
30 A. Arena F
32 S. Moreo F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (11)
8 M. Højholt
9 N. Bonfanti
33 A. Calabresi
28 O. Abildgaard
3 S. Angori
94 G. Bonfanti
70 M. Leoncini
74 Ž. Jevšenak
1 Nícolas
25 T. Ferrari
22 L. Loria

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Cesena

3-4-2-1
1 M. Pisseri G
15 A. Ciofi D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 J. Ceesay M
35 G. Calò M
30 S. Bastoni M
13 R. Celia M
23 M. Antonucci F
10 A. Kargbo F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
7 D. Donnarumma
14 T. Berti
20 E. Tavşan
18 S. van Hooijdonk
8 S. Hraiech
33 J. Klinsmann
3 M. Curto
70 M. Francesconi
5 L. Mendicino
26 M. Piacentini
4 R. Chiarello
73 S. Pieraccini

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,16
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.