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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Nurnberg
U T S T T
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Preußen Münster 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 5 2 0 +7 17
2 Paderborn 8 4 4 0 +7 16
3 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 0 +5 16
4 Magdeburg 7 4 3 0 +8 15
5 Hannover 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Hamburg 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Hertha 7 3 1 3 -1 10
8 FC Koln 7 2 3 2 +5 9
9 Elversberg 7 2 3 2 +4 9
10 Greuther Furth 7 2 3 2 +3 9
11 Kaiserslautern 7 2 3 2 -1 9
12 Ulm 7 2 1 4 +0 7
13 Schalke 04 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Nurnberg 7 2 1 4 -6 7
15 Darmstadt 8 1 3 4 -7 6
16 Preußen Münster 7 1 2 4 -4 5
17 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -12 4
18 Regensburg 8 1 1 6 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Preußen Münster
1–0 S. Tzimas
C. Jander
8′
16′
L. Frenkert 1–1
A. Németh
43′
T. Paetow 1–2
L. Frenkert
Half-time 2–2
2–2 C. Jander
J. Justvan
52′
55′
🔁 R. Preißinger
↦ T. Deters
58′
🟨 Torge Paetow
B. Goller 🔁
↦ O. Villadsen
62′
66′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Németh
L. Schleimer 🔁
↦ M. Emreli
72′
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ Danilo Soares
72′
78′
🟨 Rico Preißinger
3–2 O. Karafiát
C. Jander
78′
Ondrej Karafiat ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
80′
T. Duman 🔁
↦ C. Jander
84′
F. Pick 🔁
↦ S. Tzimas
84′
84′
🔁 M. Lorenz
↦ J. Grodowski
Taylan Duman 🟨
86′
92′
🟨 Marc Lorenz
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-4-1-2
1 J. Reichert G
44 O. Karafiát D
31 R. Knoche D
33 N. Seidel D
2 O. Villadsen M
20 C. Jander M
18 R. Lubach M
3 Danilo Soares M
10 J. Justvan F
30 M. Emreli F
9 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
14 B. Goller
36 L. Schleimer
21 B. Yılmaz
8 T. Duman
7 F. Pick
22 E. Valentini
26 C. Mathenia
19 M. Ševčík
6 F. Flick

Coach: M. Klose

Preußen Münster

4-3-3
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
16 T. Paetow D
29 L. Frenkert D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
11 T. Deters M
20 J. Hendrix M
8 J. Mees M
9 J. Grodowski F
28 A. Németh F
14 C. Makridis F
Bench (9)
21 R. Preißinger
31 H. Friðjónsson
18 M. Lorenz
22 D. Schad
26 M. Behrens
15 S. Scherder
24 N. Koulis
7 D. Kyerewaa
5 Y. Bouchama

Coach: S. Hildmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,56
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.