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LaLiga2

Referee: Álvaro Moreno

Burgos

T U U S U

0–2

Full-time

Castellon

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

0,5

Scored

2,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 7. · Castellon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Albacete	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Santander	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Malaga	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Almeria	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Burgos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Mirandes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Granada	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Sp Gijon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Cadiz	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Cordoba	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Castellon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Tenerife	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Elche	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Cartagena	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mirandes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Santander	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Castellon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Tenerife	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Granada	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Almeria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Oviedo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Santander	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Albacete	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Eibar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sp Gijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Tenerife	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.