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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Zaragoza
U S T S T
2–3
Full-time
Santander
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zaragoza 5. · Santander 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +6 15
2 Levante 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Burgos 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Zaragoza 7 4 1 2 +7 13
6 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
7 Mirandes 8 3 3 2 +2 12
8 Eibar 8 3 3 2 +0 12
9 Eldense 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Oviedo 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Castellon 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Elche 8 3 1 4 +0 10
13 Granada 8 2 4 2 -1 10
14 Malaga 7 2 4 1 -1 10
15 Albacete 7 3 0 4 -2 9
16 Cadiz 8 2 3 3 -4 9
17 Cordoba 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -2 7
19 Cartagena 7 2 0 5 -4 6
20 Almeria 7 1 3 3 -5 6
21 Ferrol 8 1 3 4 -6 6
22 Tenerife 7 0 2 5 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Santander
3′
🟨 Manu Hernando
Francho Serrano 🟨
5′
Bernardo Vital 🟨
15′
33′
Pablo Rodríguez 0–1
Andrés Martín
34′
ℹ️ Pablo Rodríguez
VAR: Goal confirmed
40′
Iñigo Vicente 0–2
Andrés Martín
41′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Pablo Rodríguez
51′
🟨 Manu Hernando
51′
🟥 Manu Hernando
55′
🔁 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
↦ Andrés Martín
55′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
55′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ Iñigo Vicente
1–2 Dani Tasende
57′
63′
🟨 Jokin Ezkieta
2–2 Mario Soberón
Dani Tasende
66′
71′
Aritz Aldasoro 2–3
Iván Azón 🔁
↦ S. Baždar
73′
73′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
Alberto Marí 🔁
↦ Mario Soberón
79′
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ Francho Serrano
79′
81′
🔁 Pol Moreno
↦ C. Michelin
Toni Moya 🟨
84′
Marcos Luna 🔁
↦ Iván Calero
93′
98′
🟨 Francisco Montero
Ager Aketxe
penalty missed
100′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 G. Poussin G
19 Iván Calero D
12 S. Kóša D
15 Bernardo Vital D
4 Dani Tasende D
23 Ager Aketxe M
14 Francho Serrano M
21 Toni Moya M
33 Adrian Liso M
7 Mario Soberón F
11 S. Baždar F
Bench (12)
9 Iván Azón
22 Alberto Marí
29 Pau Sans
2 Marcos Luna
17 Carlos Nieto
25 Joan Femenías
20 Adu Ares
10 Sergio Bermejo
26 Gori
8 Marc Aguado
1 C. Álvarez
3 Jair Amador

Coach: Victor Fernández

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
3 Saúl García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
5 Javi Castro
20 S. Camara
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
4 Pol Moreno
19 Jon Karrikaburu
12 M. Gueye
40 Mario García
15 Marco Sangalli
1 Miquel Parera
29 Jeremy Arévalo
7 L. Junior

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,31
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.