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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Hatayspor
U T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,06 xG 1,38
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Trabzonspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 7 6 1 0 +15 +3.7 19
2 Fenerbahce 7 5 1 1 +11 +9.9 16
3 Besiktas 6 5 1 0 +10 +5.8 16
4 Samsunspor 7 5 0 2 +5 +4.5 15
5 Buyuksehyr 6 4 1 1 +5 +0.3 13
6 Goztep 7 3 3 1 +5 -0.1 12
7 Eyüpspor 7 3 3 1 +4 +1.9 12
8 Bodrumspor 8 3 1 4 -2 +0.3 10
9 Alanyaspor 7 2 3 2 -2 +1.4 9
10 Trabzonspor 6 1 5 0 +1 -1.5 8
11 Kasimpasa 8 1 5 2 -2 +2.5 8
12 Konyaspor 7 2 2 3 -2 -0.3 8
13 Sivasspor 8 2 2 4 -3 -5.6 8
14 Antalyaspor 8 2 2 4 -6 -4.9 8
15 Rizespor 8 2 1 5 -11 -3.8 7
16 Gaziantep 6 1 1 4 -4 -1.1 4
17 Kayserispor 6 0 3 3 -7 -3.7 3
18 Hatayspor 6 0 2 4 -6 -6.1 2
19 Ad. Demirspor 7 0 1 6 -11 -3.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,63
U ✓
3,28
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.